CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

StandX fully diluted valuation, one day after launch [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 9 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $200,000,000 2027-01-01 63.0%
$50 $26K
C 0x45a913…fe33
≥ $400,000,000 2027-01-01 36.0%
$27 $33K
C 0x3de44d…0800
≥ $800,000,000 2027-01-01 16.0%
$494 $331K
C 0x98a00a…36c9
≥ $1,000,000,000 2027-01-01 11.0%
$4 $389K
C 0x31f521…bff5
≥ $2,000,000,000 2027-01-01 4.1%
$126K
C 0x50e50c…6ede
≥ $3,000,000,000 2027-01-01 3.2%
$179K
C 0xf411b5…2146
≥ $5,000,000,000 2027-01-01 1.8%
$121K
C 0xdb356a…0f5d
≥ $7,000,000,000 1.4%
$55K
C 0xb21d4b…0c72
≥ $10,000,000,000 2027-01-01 0.9%
$155K
C 0x29378d…4b58
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers x.com link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 9 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://x.com/StandX_Official
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
  "slug": "standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "StandX fully diluted valuation, one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "standx",
    "market-cap",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 9,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 1415112,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 46,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "x.com",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →