CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Tabi's fully diluted valuation exceed $100M–$3B one day after launch? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 6 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $100,000,000 2027-01-01 14.0%
$12K
C 0xeea5e2…2abf
≥ $250,000,000 2027-01-01 20.0%
$2.6K
C 0xd24903…58a8
≥ $500,000,000 2027-01-01 11.0%
$5.1K
C 0xf7fbee…7008
≥ $1,000,000,000 2027-01-01 13.0%
$3.9K
C 0x1f0d3a…c809
≥ $2,000,000,000 2027-01-01 4.8%
$5.7K
C 0xb4509c…e05d
≥ $3,000,000,000 2027-01-01 2.1%
$24K
C 0x707b24…1add
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 6 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tabi's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tabi (https://x.com/Tabichain) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://x.com/Tabichain
sources (1)
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/tabi-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/tabi-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("tabi-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W82HZWZCP1",
  "slug": "tabi-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Will Tabi's fully diluted valuation exceed ___ one day after launch?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "tabi",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 52973,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 34,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/Tabichain",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "x.com",
      "url": "https://x.com/Tabichain",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →