Will a Democrat win the Tennessee Democratic Senate primary by the 2026 primary election? [ resolved 2026-08-06 ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 30 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquita Bradshaw | 2026-08-06 | 100.0% | — | $9.7K | C | 0x253a4a…35ba | ||
| Bill Hagerty | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | $1.8K | C | 0x4f5333…5d68 | ||
| Maria Brewer | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | $3.1K | C | 0x643a95…018d | ||
| Kevin Lee McCants | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | $1.5K | C | 0x69a253…7c59 | ||
| Civil Miller-Watkins | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | $2.3K | C | 0xba0b63…49f3 | ||
| Diana Onyeijaka | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | $3.5K | C | 0x9d34dd…75ed | ||
| Another person | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc97a9f…17f7 | ||
| Person D | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x27d56e…886c | ||
| Person E | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x676e36…d624 | ||
| Person F | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd398f9…e7ca | ||
| Person G | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7c2b8e…9e5a | ||
| Person H | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xba8e0c…4a14 | ||
| Person I | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x77c749…372d | ||
| Person J | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x707ab2…b124 | ||
| Person K | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x658dca…641e | ||
| Person L | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x719887…295e | ||
| Person M | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd4a9c5…078f | ||
| Person N | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8dd3ac…8b6c | ||
| Person O | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfe17a6…e6fc | ||
| Person P | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x77ac2f…58cc | ||
| Person Q | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd34d7b…3a79 | ||
| Person R | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9c6313…732a | ||
| Person S | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x02dca6…7c62 | ||
| Person T | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x01e218…2eb2 | ||
| Person U | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb00421…653a | ||
| Person V | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0dd421…f682 | ||
| Person W | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe0ed55…1e6c | ||
| Person X | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf6cf77…f070 | ||
| Person Y | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3e589e…e170 | ||
| Person Z | 2026-08-06 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd50a20…9ab4 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Tennessee.
If no 2026 Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
Tennessee Democratic Party from rules text credible reporting from rules text
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | polymarket | 2026-08-07 | 100% |
| NO | Will Bill Hagerty be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | polymarket | 2026-08-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | polymarket | 2026-08-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Kevin Lee McCants be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | polymarket | 2026-08-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Civil Miller-Watkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | polymarket | 2026-08-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Diana Onyeijaka be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | polymarket | 2026-08-07 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (6 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/tennessee-democratic-senate-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/tennessee-democratic-senate-primary-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("tennessee-democratic-senate-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0DKYMQK5Z1",
"slug": "tennessee-democratic-senate-primary-winner",
"question": "Will a Democrat win the Tennessee Democratic Senate primary by the 2026 primary election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"tennessee",
"democratic-primary",
"senate-2026",
"us-senate"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 30,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 21898,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 70,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Tennessee Democratic Party",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}