Will the Thai Constitutional Court invalidate the election by June 30, 2026? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $1.8K | $44K | C | 0xb8116b…ba67 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Thailand held legislative elections on February 8, 2026. On March 18, 2026, the Constitutional Court of Thailand accepted a petition to rule on the constitutionality of barcodes and QR codes on ballots and whether they undermined ballot secrecy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Constitutional Court of Thailand issues a ruling that invalidates the results of the 2026 Thai legislative elections by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling is defined as any written order, judgment, opinion, decision, or summary ruling from the Constitutional Court of Thailand that declares the results of the February 8, 2026, general election void, invalid, or nullified.
This market will resolve upon the issuance of the first qualifying ruling by the specified court on the matter. Only this initial ruling will be considered for resolution, and any subsequent rulings, appeals, clarifications, rehearings, or related decisions will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Constitutional Court of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- Constitutional Court of Thailand from rules text · editorial
- credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/thai-constitutional-court-invalidates-election/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/thai-constitutional-court-invalidates-election |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("thai-constitutional-court-invalidates-election") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-36W2VP3FB1",
"slug": "thai-constitutional-court-invalidates-election",
"question": "Will the Thai Constitutional Court invalidate the election by June 30, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"thailand",
"constitutional-court",
"judicial-intervention",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 44429,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Constitutional Court of Thailand",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}