CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Todd Blanche be confirmed as Attorney General? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2027) [ resolves 2026-07 – 2027-01 ]

Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 4 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
June 30 2026-07-01 3.7%
$1.2K
A 0x772bc7…ea4f
December 31 2027-01-01 94.0%
$10 $4.5K
A 0xf94dd1…8cbe
October 31 2027-01-01 91.0%
$163 $4.2K
A 0x3317d8…b04f
August 30 2027-01-01 80.0%
$2.6K $11K
A 0x66a6d4…0def
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 4 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned
sources (2) · stated precedence rule
  • U.S. Senate source of record from rules text · editorial
  • credible reporting from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/todd-blanche-confirmed-as-attorney-general-byptptpt-20260608213256942/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/todd-blanche-confirmed-as-attorney-general-byptptpt-20260608213256942
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("todd-blanche-confirmed-as-attorney-general-byptptpt-20260608213256942")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FFJG2YL577",
  "slug": "todd-blanche-confirmed-as-attorney-general-byptptpt-20260608213256942",
  "question": "Will Todd Blanche be confirmed as Attorney General? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2027)",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-executive-appointments",
    "attorney-general",
    "senate-confirmation",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 21008,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "U.S. Senate",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →