Will a new mayor be elected in Toronto by the 2026 election? [ resolves 2026-10-26 (112D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 36 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Chow | 2026-10-26 | 81.0% | $338 | $19K | C | 0x129504…0459 | ||
| Brad Bradford | 2026-10-26 | 15.0% | $87 | $14K | C | 0xbdfde2…7e92 | ||
| Michael Ford | 2026-10-26 | 0.4% | $30 | $5.6K | C | 0x91f8b5…991c | ||
| Anthony Furey | 2026-10-26 | 0.2% | $30 | $5.0K | C | 0x6bc524…114b | ||
| Kevin Clarke | 2026-10-26 | 0.2% | $60 | $5.3K | C | 0xa8f305…e943 | ||
| Ana Bailão | 2026-10-26 | 0.2% | $30 | $6.1K | C | 0xb7b4ff…ff40 | ||
| Marco Mendicino | 2026-10-26 | 0.2% | $30 | $6.7K | C | 0x9d991d…3dc5 | ||
| John Tory | 2026-10-26 | 0.1% | $30 | $5.0K | C | 0x07aecf…2653 | ||
| Person L | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8f79ab…de80 | ||
| Person T | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x07efa5…368a | ||
| Person Z | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfd0dd5…ca78 | ||
| Someone else | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x32c851…3a13 | ||
| Person A | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7f5514…b971 | ||
| Person D | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbab3ef…8c9c | ||
| Person J | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x21aedd…67e6 | ||
| Person M | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5758fa…c3d1 | ||
| Person P | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd5a8c8…01aa | ||
| Person R | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc98563…173f | ||
| Person U | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe9ac13…4880 | ||
| Person X | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x42ecaa…4661 | ||
| Person Y | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x62f28d…7c63 | ||
| Person A | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4ffdd1…9ab8 | ||
| Person C | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x99ff48…d580 | ||
| Person F | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9a9bb3…cabb | ||
| Person G | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x338255…8dc1 | ||
| Person H | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8c8f2b…8a4e | ||
| Person I | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x43dc86…991a | ||
| Person O | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5286b8…6bdc | ||
| Person Q | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4683b8…62d1 | ||
| Person S | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x57b0bd…4832 | ||
| Person V | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3cb3de…4000 | ||
| Person B | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9d00ca…28b7 | ||
| Person E | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7bf886…d263 | ||
| Person K | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x588b20…8f6a | ||
| Person N | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfc4e3c…e1b6 | ||
| Person W | 2026-10-26 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd11d69…6808 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| closed | Will Person L win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person T win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person Z win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will someone else win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person A win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person D win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person J win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person M win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person P win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person R win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person U win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person X win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person Y win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person A win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person C win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person F win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person G win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person H win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person I win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person O win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person Q win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person S win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person V win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person B win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person E win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person K win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person N win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
| closed | Will Person W win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-26 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (28 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
"slug": "toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545",
"question": "Will a new mayor be elected in Toronto by the 2026 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"canada",
"toronto",
"2026",
"municipal-elections"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 36,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 66938,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}