Will Trump, Putin, and Zelensky be seen together before 2027? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (149D) ]
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | — | $85K | C | 0xa04dcb…33c3 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between this market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.
The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky together.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
- Trump-Putin-Zelensky meeting before 2027 stays a long shot Polymarket 8%
- Polymarket prices only 8% on Trump, Putin, and Zelensky appearing together before 2027.
- Putin publicly ruling out a ceasefire and issuing nuclear warnings at Valdai aligns with the market's near-zero odds on a trilateral summit.
- The 8% figure also reflects structural barriers: even before this speech, a three-way summit required simultaneous agreement from all parties.
- Resolves via Polymarket UMA oracle; Putin's ceasefire rejection makes any near-term summit mechanism harder to envision.
- Trump-Putin-Zelensky summit before 2027 stays a long shot Polymarket 8%
- Polymarket puts just 8% on Trump, Putin, and Zelensky appearing together before 2027, resolving via UMA oracle.
- Putin's rejection of the UAE talks is consistent with the market's low-odds pricing on any three-way summit materializing this year.
- Polymarket's 4% on Putin leaving the presidency before 2027 and 10% on Ukraine signing a peace deal before 2027 together suggest markets see the war as structurally frozen.
- Zelensky's 10-day answer window could briefly reprice these contracts if Moscow signals openness, but current odds reflect deep skepticism.
- Trump, Putin, Zelensky meeting before 2027 stays a long shot Polymarket 6%
- The Polymarket contract prices only a 6% chance Trump, Putin, and Zelensky appear together before 2027.
- Zelensky's public skepticism about Putin's intentions is consistent with the market's near-long-shot pricing, even as the US formally proposed a trilateral UAE meeting.
- A companion Polymarket contract on Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meeting specifically (CM-EVT-FNBRJ6KY59) sits at 8%, nearly identical, suggesting both venues see the physical summit as a remote outcome.
- Resolves via UMA oracle on photographic or credible official documentation of a joint appearance; a video call or proxy meeting would not satisfy resolution.
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027 stays a long shot Polymarket 9%
- The Polymarket contract on Trump, Putin, and Zelensky being seen together before 2027 prices at 9%.
- Ongoing Russian strikes and Zelensky's public pressure campaign are consistent with a low-probability reading on any three-way summit materializing this year.
- Companion Polymarket contract on Putin no longer being President of Russia by end of 2026 sits at 4%, suggesting the market sees the current conflict dynamic as stable if grim.
- Resolves via Polymarket's UMA oracle, requiring documented evidence of all three leaders appearing together before January 1, 2027.
- Trump-Putin-Zelensky summit before 2027 stays a long shot Polymarket 8%
- The Polymarket contract puts only an 8% chance that Trump, Putin, and Zelensky appear together before 2027.
- Trump signing Russia sanctions into law is a hawkish signal that makes a tripartite diplomatic summit more, not less, difficult near-term.
- The market is not treating the sanctions bill as a bridge to peace talks; the 8% probability is consistent with the hardened posture.
- Resolves via uma_oracle; the companion Polymarket contract on Putin remaining president sits at 95% probability, removing leadership-change tail risk from the equation.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-QP1YL1BSS0",
"slug": "trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027",
"question": "Will Trump, Putin, and Zelensky be seen together before 2027?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"geopolitics",
"trump",
"ukraine-russia",
"diplomatic-meeting",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 84980,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 44,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}