Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
polymarket: [C] objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46 resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2J5T71W5G2",
"slug": "trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30",
"question": "Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump",
"us-government",
"executive-action",
"2026",
"bureaucracy"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 172747,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}