Will Trump sign a housing bill by the end of July? [ resolves 2026-07-31 (8D) ]
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump signs housing bill by end of July | 2026-07-31 | 0.9% | — | $44K | A | 0x635951…81fa |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump signs H.R. 6644, also referred to as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, into law by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only enactment by a presidential signature shall be relevant for this market. It will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if the relevant bill becomes a law by a method other than a presidential signature.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → Congress.gov sources (2) · single authority
- congress.gov source of record venue-listed
- official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/trump-signs-housing-bill-by-end-of-july-20260624145217694/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/trump-signs-housing-bill-by-end-of-july-20260624145217694 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("trump-signs-housing-bill-by-end-of-july-20260624145217694") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SS4QRLH5N5",
"slug": "trump-signs-housing-bill-by-end-of-july-20260624145217694",
"question": "Will Trump sign a housing bill by the end of July?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"economy",
"congress",
"politics",
"housing-policy",
"trump-administration"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 44313,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "Congress.gov",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "congress.gov",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "congress.gov",
"url": "Congress.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}