Will the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be released for June 2026? [ resolves 2026-06-26 (23D) ]
polymarket: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June | 2026-06-26 | 30.0% | $91 | $8.6K | B | 0x79c34b…9481 | ||
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June | 2026-06-26 | 20.4% | $434 | $2.5K | B | 0x9c5932…f491 | ||
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June | 2026-06-26 | 19.0% | $712 | $3.2K | B | 0x16151b…3966 | ||
| ≤ 40 | 2026-06-26 | 9.8% | $540 | $1.4K | B | 0x43a553…8ee0 | ||
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June | 2026-06-26 | 8.0% | $520 | $3.2K | B | 0x1e8dfa…6745 | ||
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June | 2026-06-26 | 7.0% | $87 | $685 | B | 0xd9fb5c…d037 | ||
| ≥ 55 | 2026-06-26 | 3.0% | $66 | $616 | B | 0x29b7af…6d19 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3QMHP43P20",
"slug": "university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026",
"question": "Will the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be released for June 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"consumer-sentiment",
"economy",
"united-states",
"economic-indicators",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 20194,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 71,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}