U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

polymarket 2 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)		vol (24h)	vol (cum)		RCG	venue id
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30	2026-06-30	29.0%		$156	$9.8K		C	`0x605c1b…9822`
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31	2026-06-30	0.4%		$4.4K	$31K		C	`0x77628b…b2ed`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	uncommitted	not provided	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 2 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.

platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-822/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-822.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-822")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T52F2Q2VT2",
  "slug": "us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-822",
  "question": "U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "us-foreign-policy",
    "drug-enforcement",
    "trump-administration",
    "2026",
    "international-operations"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 41016,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 16,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
    "adversarial_ground_truth"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →