Will Kennedy Stewart win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? [ resolved 2026-10-18 ]
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 39 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person A | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x88316f…d004 | ||
| Person B | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4f0255…7db1 | ||
| Person C | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x848854…17fd | ||
| Person D | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6139fd…39d1 | ||
| Person E | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf96bdd…7f46 | ||
| Person F | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcf7886…60bf | ||
| Person G | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x615b18…58d7 | ||
| Person H | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x174f71…9739 | ||
| Person I | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2cfb15…90ad | ||
| Person J | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x53ba2e…162a | ||
| Person K | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6adb89…d182 | ||
| Person L | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x67875d…41bd | ||
| Person M | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x51f81a…6a88 | ||
| Person N | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x91274a…324a | ||
| Person O | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x15adbc…55cf | ||
| Person P | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7ea5a0…eb44 | ||
| Person Q | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xaadccc…8bf3 | ||
| Person R | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf829c3…2752 | ||
| Person S | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4a0983…ac34 | ||
| Person T | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0c1736…b257 | ||
| Person U | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2e3f0c…2fac | ||
| Person V | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7fe893…5785 | ||
| Person W | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x787f3f…64a5 | ||
| Person X | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5885e6…1baa | ||
| Person Y | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb8e696…fdc4 | ||
| Person Z | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x916c32…46ab | ||
| Someone else | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x13a9e3…c8e7 | ||
| Pete Fry | 2026-10-18 | 100.0% | $441 | $28K | C | 0x1d4d4b…4df8 | ||
| Ken Sim | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | — | $22K | C | 0x010f3f…7ec8 | ||
| Kareem Allam | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | $10 | $62K | C | 0x574baa…1845 | ||
| John Coupar | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | — | $5.1K | C | 0x495d71…ace6 | ||
| Kirk LaPointe | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | — | $3.4K | C | 0xf42fda…facc | ||
| Rebecca Bligh | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | — | $4.0K | C | 0xcb3a9c…73bd | ||
| William Azaroff | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | $52 | $16K | C | 0xe3a241…4a03 | ||
| Sean Orr | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | — | $2.9K | C | 0x2dd43d…4bef | ||
| Colleen Hardwick | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | — | $4.7K | C | 0x668ccb…cc22 | ||
| Tim Louis | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | — | $6.2K | C | 0xccead3…f0fb | ||
| Amanda Burrows | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | — | $2.7K | C | 0x2cdf23…5113 | ||
| Fred Harding | 2026-10-18 | 0.0% | — | $2.6K | C | 0xca2016…8caf |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
a consensus of credible reporting from rules text official information from Vancouver from rules text
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| YES | Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 100% |
| NO | Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | polymarket | 2026-10-18 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (12 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Allam Vancouver mayor bid draws early speculative positioning 27% · $13K 24h
- 27% price grants Allam genuine contender status in a race that remains early and fluid.
- $13K in 24h is 25% of all-time Polymarket volume, a notable but measured accumulation for a local race.
- Vancouver mayoral contest draws cross-border attention given housing and urban-policy implications.
- Election expected fall 2026; positioning this early reflects name-recognition or endorsement catalysts.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/vancouver-mayoral-election-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/vancouver-mayoral-election-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("vancouver-mayoral-election-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
"slug": "vancouver-mayoral-election-winner",
"question": "Will Kennedy Stewart win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"vancouver",
"canada",
"2026",
"municipal-election"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 39,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 160175,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 54,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official information from Vancouver",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}