Will the Washington 3rd District Republican primary winner be determined by August 4, 2026? [ resolved 2026-08-04 ]
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 2026-08-04 | 100.0% | — | $18K | B | 0xef7207…d10a | ||
| John Braun | 2026-08-04 | 100.0% | — | $8.1K | B | 0x619165…ceff | ||
| Brent Hennrich | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $22K | B | 0xe97fd6…b6a7 | ||
| Suzzanna V. Tanner | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $3.0K | B | 0x67ae5c…0fa4 | ||
| Antony Barran | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $1.3K | B | 0x5fae5b…ec5e | ||
| Lawrence Kellogg | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $6.5K | B | 0xabf51b…d6a5 | ||
| Eric Vaughan | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $5.6K | B | 0xec4dc9…8745 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (1) · stated precedence rule
Washington Office of the Secretary of State committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 0% |
| NO | Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 0% |
| NO | Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 0% |
| NO | Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 0% |
| NO | Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 0% |
| YES | Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 100% |
| YES | Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (7 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/wa-03-primary-winners/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/wa-03-primary-winners |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("wa-03-primary-winners") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8505H76YN5",
"slug": "wa-03-primary-winners",
"question": "Will the Washington 3rd District Republican primary winner be determined by August 4, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"2026",
"washington-state",
"primary-election",
"us-house"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 65066,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Washington Office of the Secretary of State",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Washington Office of the Secretary of State",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}