Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 34 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 100.0% | — | $12K | A | 0xb31079…e8cd | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $1.54M | A | 0xc72ad4…c533 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $23K | A | 0xeea323…e51c | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $1.12M | A | 0xf2591a…0d55 | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $44K | A | 0x64838f…ee4f | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $44K | A | 0x954c7b…4300 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | — | A | 0x5e27b3…8e41 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $776K | A | 0x6e1fbd…5a55 | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 68.0% | $48K | $3.33M | A | 0x752fa6…8a8c | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 55.0% | $63K | $1.30M | A | 0xce3c54…2c56 | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 40.0% | $68K | $2.76M | A | 0x024b68…6fee | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 33.0% | $30K | $802K | A | 0xbb379a…f50e | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 29.0% | $17K | $747K | A | 0x1e5564…baa2 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | $37K | $1.76M | A | 0xdaa486…990f | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 19.0% | $63K | $2.25M | A | 0x2745c3…a2a2 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | $18K | $994K | A | 0x63eaf4…7b01 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 13.0% | $19K | $780K | A | 0xf9b6b5…cfe4 | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 12.0% | $30K | $480K | A | 0x903a13…69ef | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | $1.8K | $980K | A | 0x885a6a…a859 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | $1.4K | $861K | A | 0xf0a4c0…f15e | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | $11K | $881K | A | 0xe326d1…e775 | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $5.1K | $381K | A | 0x23fb92…69fc | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 5.1% | $1.4K | $4.79M | A | 0xa885bf…3713 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 5.0% | $3.4K | $935K | A | 0xa7b594…1cda | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 4.4% | $5.3K | $620K | A | 0xd8a584…7d29 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 4.1% | $1.3K | $478K | A | 0x472c90…54b0 | ||
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | $658 | $559K | A | 0xe681a6…3469 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 2.5% | $1.5K | $420K | A | 0x799c35…547f | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 2.5% | $2.6K | $564K | A | 0xe71b9d…e115 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 2.3% | $9.8K | $1.73M | A | 0xac32e7…68cd | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 2.2% | $1.8K | $313K | A | 0x9affeb…4234 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 1.8% | $4.5K | $5.04M | A | 0x6fefc0…1092 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 1.4% | $13K | $1.22M | A | 0xf3519e…6116 | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 0.8% | $15K | $1.38M | A | 0xa7d7ed…1c47 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | binance.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2S263KKBP2",
"slug": "what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027",
"question": "Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"bitcoin",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"2027-resolution",
"btc-usd",
"crypto"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 34,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 39895721,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "binance.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}