Will Bitcoin reach a specific price target in July? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-08 ]

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot

polymarket 28 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Dip to $60,000	2026-07-01	99.0%	—	$10	A	`0x94ffe3…1b44`
Reach $62,500	2026-07-03	99.9%	—	$90K	A	`0x6e2310…9e90`
Dip to $62,500	2026-07-13	99.9%	—	$90K	A	`0x95875d…5229`
Reach $62,500	2026-07-14	99.0%	—	$305	A	`0x1ce333…def8`
Reach $65,000	2026-07-14	99.9%	—	$932K	A	`0xc9c979…18d4`
Dip to $65,000	2026-07-15	99.0%	—	$1.0K	A	`0x4412ed…19bf`
Reach $65,000	2026-07-20	99.9%	—	$155K	A	`0xeeec7e…f419`
Dip to $65,000	2026-07-23	99.9%	$54K	$112K	A	`0xb6299e…7a29`
Reach $65,000	2026-08-01	99.0%	$1.4K	$1.4K	A	`0x18d1c8…0e99`
Reach $67,500	2026-08-01	45.0%	$115K	$1.84M	A	`0xbe20fc…e3d9`
Dip to $62,500	2026-08-01	44.6%	$39K	$360K	A	`0x14ea38…78bc`
Reach $70,000	2026-08-01	16.0%	$152K	$1.40M	A	`0xe284a5…8358`
Dip to $60,000	2026-08-01	14.0%	$51K	$530K	A	`0x9acc54…c52a`
Dip to $57,500	2026-08-01	4.9%	$49K	$1.11M	A	`0x2be031…fabb`
Reach $72,500	2026-08-01	4.3%	$123K	$1.04M	A	`0x38903e…0a4d`
Dip to $55,000	2026-08-01	2.2%	$65K	$773K	A	`0xbfefe5…1c46`
Reach $75,000	2026-08-01	1.4%	$35K	$1.15M	A	`0x5523e3…eaf6`
Dip to $52,500	2026-08-01	0.9%	$18K	$635K	A	`0xe49844…0b61`
Reach $77,500	2026-08-01	0.7%	$116K	$793K	A	`0x13dae0…e683`
Dip to $50,000	2026-08-01	0.6%	$33K	$634K	A	`0x5e2aec…d680`
Reach $82,500	2026-08-01	0.2%	$29K	$751K	A	`0x7d64a1…92e2`
Reach $80,000	2026-08-01	0.2%	$23K	$887K	A	`0x7c11c1…67de`
Dip to $47,500	2026-08-01	0.2%	$36K	$490K	A	`0xdfbe36…3d05`
Dip to $45,000	2026-08-01	0.2%	$5.6K	$313K	A	`0xec540d…18c0`
Reach $100,000	2026-08-01	0.1%	$97K	$1.93M	A	`0xc84688…b092`
Dip to $42,500	2026-08-01	0.1%	$4.0K	$143K	A	`0x320256…cb02`
Dip to $40,000	2026-08-01	0.1%	—	$138K	A	`0xd7160e…81b1`
Dip to $37,500	2026-08-01	0.1%	$12K	$357K	A	`0x66c52a…8d88`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	not provided	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 28 markets · share this text

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

platform source field polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

sources (3) · single authority

binance.com venue-listed
Binance source of record from rules text · editorial
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT from rules text · editorial

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july-2026/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july-2026`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july-2026")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-68FS8P01L9",
  "slug": "what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july-2026",
  "question": "Will Bitcoin reach a specific price target in July?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-prediction",
    "july-2026",
    "crypto-volatility"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 28,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 16667953,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 91,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Binance",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "binance.com",
      "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Binance",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →