Will Bitcoin reach a specific price during July 20-26? [ resolved 2026-07-27 ]
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 20-26?
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 14 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $66,000 | 2026-07-21 | 99.9% | — | $18K | A | 0x271eff…6ab8 | ||
| ≤ $50,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $1.3K | $2.9K | A | 0x900bb1…ca36 | ||
| ≤ $52,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $1.7K | $9.1K | A | 0xfdff4f…5077 | ||
| ≤ $54,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $2.6K | $15K | A | 0x6b5cef…8e2e | ||
| ≤ $56,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $369 | $8.0K | A | 0x46db2b…2eee | ||
| ≤ $58,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $2.4K | $12K | A | 0xf122b5…aaba | ||
| ≤ $60,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $16K | $27K | A | 0x523467…7b2e | ||
| ≤ $62,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $18K | $38K | A | 0x87ce56…b168 | ||
| ≥ $68,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $36K | $73K | A | 0x11f986…b801 | ||
| ≥ $70,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $19K | $40K | A | 0x96a08b…a29b | ||
| ≥ $72,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $14K | $43K | A | 0x416388…ac8e | ||
| ≥ $74,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $8.2K | $25K | A | 0x3aadd4…3512 | ||
| ≥ $76,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $706 | $2.4K | A | 0x94dd79…5521 | ||
| ≥ $78,000 | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $1.4K | $2.4K | A | 0x6b6b90…ef78 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT sources (3) · single authority
- binance.com venue-listed
- Binance source of record from rules text · editorial
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 20-26? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (13 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-20-26-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-20-26-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-20-26-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-M057LFXDF5",
"slug": "what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-20-26-2026",
"question": "Will Bitcoin reach a specific price during July 20-26?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"bitcoin",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"weekly-range",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 14,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 316026,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Binance",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "binance.com",
"url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Binance",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}