Will Ethereum hit a specific price by July? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-08 ]
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 32 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dip to $1,600 | 2026-07-02 | 99.8% | — | $515 | A | 0x16c7ea…ea5e | ||
| Reach $1,700 | 2026-07-02 | 99.9% | — | $12K | A | 0x4c7649…99ae | ||
| Reach $1,800 | 2026-07-04 | 99.9% | — | $55K | A | 0x42311c…ef56 | ||
| Reach $1,800 | 2026-07-10 | 99.9% | — | $9.1K | A | 0xe07cd5…8138 | ||
| Reach $1,800 | 2026-07-11 | 99.9% | — | $2.8K | A | 0xadb00c…be92 | ||
| Dip to $1,800 | 2026-07-11 | 74.0% | — | $289 | A | 0xdd3e56…e0fe | ||
| Dip to $1,800 | 2026-07-12 | — | — | — | A | 0x70d584…8d1b | ||
| Reach $1,800 | 2026-07-14 | 95.0% | — | $2.4K | A | 0xd24263…87a8 | ||
| Reach $1,900 | 2026-07-15 | 99.9% | — | $214K | A | 0xcfcfef…6b0e | ||
| Dip to $1,900 | 2026-07-16 | 99.9% | — | $6.4K | A | 0x97cd16…f9c6 | ||
| Reach $1,900 | 2026-07-20 | 99.7% | — | $31K | A | 0x2930e0…3fdc | ||
| Dip to $1,900 | 2026-07-20 | 99.0% | — | $5 | A | 0x93ef14…e2ee | ||
| Dip to $1,900 | 2026-07-23 | 99.9% | $4.8K | $13K | A | 0x3af06e…c4eb | ||
| Reach $1,900 | 2026-08-01 | 95.0% | $102 | $102 | A | 0xdf4adc…876f | ||
| Dip to $1,800 | 2026-08-01 | 54.0% | $2.6K | $31K | A | 0xee3bd1…75dc | ||
| Reach $2,000 | 2026-08-01 | 38.0% | $21K | $323K | A | 0x66fbbb…3ace | ||
| Dip to $1,700 | 2026-08-01 | 19.0% | $2.1K | $112K | A | 0x96f4c4…5af2 | ||
| Reach $2,100 | 2026-08-01 | 13.0% | $10K | $183K | A | 0x344704…f2d7 | ||
| Dip to $1,600 | 2026-08-01 | 6.9% | $2.0K | $80K | A | 0xecaffb…8204 | ||
| Reach $2,200 | 2026-08-01 | 4.5% | $10K | $255K | A | 0xfaaa9b…18a8 | ||
| Reach $2,300 | 2026-08-01 | 2.4% | $2.2K | $193K | A | 0x916d89…ca61 | ||
| Dip to $1,500 | 2026-08-01 | 2.3% | $3.1K | $159K | A | 0x04af67…ca4f | ||
| Dip to $1,400 | 2026-08-01 | 1.1% | $12K | $149K | A | 0x3ba33f…8a08 | ||
| Reach $2,400 | 2026-08-01 | 0.8% | $7.9K | $250K | A | 0xae9371…d9b5 | ||
| Reach $2,500 | 2026-08-01 | 0.6% | $36K | $611K | A | 0x92b9c5…2762 | ||
| Dip to $1,300 | 2026-08-01 | 0.6% | $31K | $163K | A | 0x5b0d07…1751 | ||
| Dip to $1,200 | 2026-08-01 | 0.2% | $7.6K | $284K | A | 0x519974…3543 | ||
| Dip to $900 | 2026-08-01 | 0.2% | — | $45K | A | 0x0054f9…92fa | ||
| Dip to $800 | 2026-08-01 | 0.2% | — | $36K | A | 0x8d9019…06c2 | ||
| Dip to $1,100 | 2026-08-01 | 0.1% | $3.8K | $176K | A | 0x961560…4319 | ||
| Dip to $1,000 | 2026-08-01 | 0.1% | $1.9K | $136K | A | 0x717ee6…16f7 | ||
| Dip to $700 | 2026-08-01 | 0.1% | — | $108K | A | 0x0a9f5c…bb35 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT sources (3) · single authority
- binance.com venue-listed
- Binance source of record from rules text · editorial
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-july-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-july-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-july-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-TC16ZSKTB9",
"slug": "what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-july-2026",
"question": "Will Ethereum hit a specific price by July?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"ethereum",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"july-2026",
"spot-price",
"crypto"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 32,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 3641673,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Binance",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "binance.com",
"url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Binance",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}