What price will Lighter hit in 2026? [ resolves 2026-01 – 2027-01 ]
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
polymarket: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2 | 2026-01-13 | 99.9% | — | $128K | B | 0x63e4e1…9588 | ||
| $1.5 | 2026-01-31 | 99.9% | — | $169K | B | 0x030cf6…0210 | ||
| $1 | 2026-03-09 | 99.9% | — | — | B | 0x29957f…5882 | ||
| ≥ $3 | 2027-01-01 | 33.0% | $94 | $47K | B | 0x6cc647…1679 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | $1.2K | $115K | B | 0x554c41…e40c | ||
| ≥ $6 | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | $54 | $48K | B | 0xd42bc0…c461 | ||
| ≥ $8 | 2027-01-01 | 5.4% | $27 | $81K | B | 0xf120ef…8b29 | ||
| ≥ $10 | 2027-01-01 | 5.9% | $13 | $104K | B | 0x3392d4…5855 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at:
https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.
Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used.
Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC sources (3) · single authority
- app.lighter.xyz venue-listed
- Lighter source of record from rules text · editorial
- https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| closed | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | polymarket | 2026-03-09 | — |
| closed | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | polymarket | 2026-01-31 | — |
| closed | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | polymarket | 2026-01-13 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (3 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CZXZ5J51F9",
"slug": "what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027",
"question": "What price will Lighter hit in 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto-prices",
"crypto",
"lighter-token",
"price-prediction",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 691936,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 76,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Lighter",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "app.lighter.xyz",
"url": "https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Lighter",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}