Will Solana reach a specific price level in 2026? [ resolves 2025-11 – 2027-01 ]
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 27 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reach $140 | 2025-11-26 | 100.0% | — | $16K | A | 0x0f203b…b594 | ||
| Dip to $120 | 2025-12-19 | 100.0% | — | $23K | A | 0xaf469f…584c | ||
| Dip to $100 | 2026-01-31 | 99.9% | — | $46K | A | 0x075d99…8249 | ||
| Dip to $80 | 2026-02-05 | 99.9% | — | $46K | A | 0x8cd80b…9691 | ||
| Reach $70 | 2026-06-15 | 99.9% | — | $270 | A | 0xf0e05a…143d | ||
| Reach $80 | 2026-07-02 | 77.0% | — | $1.1K | A | 0x83e5d4…289c | ||
| Dip to $70 | 2027-01-01 | 92.0% | — | $149 | A | 0xd713bf…bef0 | ||
| Dip to $60 | 2027-01-01 | 67.6% | $237 | $175K | A | 0x0135f2…c27e | ||
| Reach $120 | 2027-01-01 | 59.0% | $20 | $41 | A | 0x7bd108…b4c2 | ||
| Reach $90 | 2027-01-01 | 56.0% | $10 | $2.2K | A | 0x04834e…7152 | ||
| Reach $100 | 2027-01-01 | 41.0% | $19 | $1.7K | A | 0xa99207…febc | ||
| Reach $140 | 2027-01-01 | 40.0% | $37 | $2.0K | A | 0x8b2c46…3bdd | ||
| Dip to $50 | 2027-01-01 | 34.0% | $293 | $44K | A | 0xfe1c00…927d | ||
| Dip to $40 | 2027-01-01 | 23.0% | $637 | $127K | A | 0x5c2f3a…7e67 | ||
| Dip to $30 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | — | $1.1K | A | 0x010ed9…ac14 | ||
| Reach $160 | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | $71 | $75K | A | 0x715479…54a3 | ||
| Reach $220 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | $65 | $23K | A | 0x7b2484…c4cb | ||
| Dip to $20 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | $1.1K | $167K | A | 0x0bccf8…bae6 | ||
| Reach $180 | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $606 | $48K | A | 0x88ceaf…a52e | ||
| Reach $260 | 2027-01-01 | 6.8% | $73 | $17K | A | 0x5a353d…bdee | ||
| Reach $200 | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | $264 | $36K | A | 0x53351e…6c1f | ||
| Reach $280 | 2027-01-01 | 5.9% | $86 | $20K | A | 0x5c1d1a…9ab8 | ||
| Reach $300 | 2027-01-01 | 4.9% | $103 | $25K | A | 0xd4f01d…e5e2 | ||
| Reach $400 | 2027-01-01 | 3.7% | $134 | $53K | A | 0xa54d85…1bdc | ||
| Reach $240 | 2027-01-01 | 3.7% | $236 | $47K | A | 0x19ecee…cd89 | ||
| Reach $320 | 2027-01-01 | 2.8% | $282 | $106K | A | 0xef2804…e92c | ||
| Reach $600 | 2027-01-01 | 0.9% | $325 | $83K | A | 0x488999…85b3 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT sources (3) · single authority
binance.com committed source Binance from rules text https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT from rules text
recent wire items
- Odds hold near 50% as $120 Solana bet draws heavy trading 52% · $13K 24h
- Polymarket sits at 52%, essentially a coin-flip, meaning the market sees the $120 target as right at the edge of probable.
- 24h volume of $13K is 35% of all-time handle, indicating concentrated fresh interest compressing into a near-binary outcome.
- At 52%, new capital is being deployed on both sides of the line, consistent with a macro or crypto-sector catalyst sharpening conviction.
- Resolves Dec 31, 2026; with SOL near the threshold implied by market pricing, small price moves carry outsized resolution risk.
- Long-shot Solana $140 by year-end draws heavy trading 27% · $14K 24h
- Polymarket prices 27%, market treats $140 as an upside scenario, not a base case.
- 24h volume $14K is 62% of all-time, a majority of lifetime flow in one session.
- Active alongside the $120 contract, suggesting traders are positioning across a Solana price ladder.
- Resolves December 31, 2026.
- Solana at $120 by year-end sits right at 50% 50% · $18K 24h
- Polymarket prices exactly 50%, true coin-flip, market finds no edge in either direction.
- 24h volume $18K is 73% of all-time, making this session the dominant liquidity event for the contract.
- Even-odds print at peak volume often precedes a catalyst that breaks the stalemate.
- Resolves December 31, 2026.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-solana-hit-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-solana-hit-before-2027 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-solana-hit-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-BBD03M42C1",
"slug": "what-price-will-solana-hit-before-2027",
"question": "Will Solana reach a specific price level in 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"crypto-prices",
"solana",
"price-prediction",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 27,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1186831,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "binance.com",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "binance.com",
"url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Binance",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}