CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Solana reach a specific price level in 2026? [ resolves 2025-11 – 2027-01 ]

Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 27 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Reach $140 2025-11-26 100.0%
$16K
A 0x0f203b…b594
Dip to $120 2025-12-19 100.0%
$23K
A 0xaf469f…584c
Dip to $100 2026-01-31 99.9%
$46K
A 0x075d99…8249
Dip to $80 2026-02-05 99.9%
$46K
A 0x8cd80b…9691
Reach $70 2026-06-15 99.9%
$270
A 0xf0e05a…143d
Reach $80 2026-07-02 77.0%
$1.1K
A 0x83e5d4…289c
Dip to $70 2027-01-01 92.0%
$149
A 0xd713bf…bef0
Dip to $60 2027-01-01 67.6%
$237 $175K
A 0x0135f2…c27e
Reach $120 2027-01-01 59.0%
$20 $41
A 0x7bd108…b4c2
Reach $90 2027-01-01 56.0%
$10 $2.2K
A 0x04834e…7152
Reach $100 2027-01-01 41.0%
$19 $1.7K
A 0xa99207…febc
Reach $140 2027-01-01 40.0%
$37 $2.0K
A 0x8b2c46…3bdd
Dip to $50 2027-01-01 34.0%
$293 $44K
A 0xfe1c00…927d
Dip to $40 2027-01-01 23.0%
$637 $127K
A 0x5c2f3a…7e67
Dip to $30 2027-01-01 10.0%
$1.1K
A 0x010ed9…ac14
Reach $160 2027-01-01 9.0%
$71 $75K
A 0x715479…54a3
Reach $220 2027-01-01 8.0%
$65 $23K
A 0x7b2484…c4cb
Dip to $20 2027-01-01 8.0%
$1.1K $167K
A 0x0bccf8…bae6
Reach $180 2027-01-01 7.0%
$606 $48K
A 0x88ceaf…a52e
Reach $260 2027-01-01 6.8%
$73 $17K
A 0x5a353d…bdee
Reach $200 2027-01-01 6.0%
$264 $36K
A 0x53351e…6c1f
Reach $280 2027-01-01 5.9%
$86 $20K
A 0x5c1d1a…9ab8
Reach $300 2027-01-01 4.9%
$103 $25K
A 0xd4f01d…e5e2
Reach $400 2027-01-01 3.7%
$134 $53K
A 0xa54d85…1bdc
Reach $240 2027-01-01 3.7%
$236 $47K
A 0x19ecee…cd89
Reach $320 2027-01-01 2.8%
$282 $106K
A 0xef2804…e92c
Reach $600 2027-01-01 0.9%
$325 $83K
A 0x488999…85b3
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 27 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT
sources (3) · single authority
binance.com committed source Binance from rules text https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT from rules text
recent wire items
  • 2026-08-23T08:24:40+00:00 volume-spike
    Odds hold near 50% as $120 Solana bet draws heavy trading 52% · $13K 24h
    • Polymarket sits at 52%, essentially a coin-flip, meaning the market sees the $120 target as right at the edge of probable.
    • 24h volume of $13K is 35% of all-time handle, indicating concentrated fresh interest compressing into a near-binary outcome.
    • At 52%, new capital is being deployed on both sides of the line, consistent with a macro or crypto-sector catalyst sharpening conviction.
    • Resolves Dec 31, 2026; with SOL near the threshold implied by market pricing, small price moves carry outsized resolution risk.
  • 2026-08-22T08:24:03+00:00 volume-spike
    Long-shot Solana $140 by year-end draws heavy trading 27% · $14K 24h
    • Polymarket prices 27%, market treats $140 as an upside scenario, not a base case.
    • 24h volume $14K is 62% of all-time, a majority of lifetime flow in one session.
    • Active alongside the $120 contract, suggesting traders are positioning across a Solana price ladder.
    • Resolves December 31, 2026.
  • 2026-08-22T08:24:03+00:00 volume-spike
    Solana at $120 by year-end sits right at 50% 50% · $18K 24h
    • Polymarket prices exactly 50%, true coin-flip, market finds no edge in either direction.
    • 24h volume $18K is 73% of all-time, making this session the dominant liquidity event for the contract.
    • Even-odds print at peak volume often precedes a catalyst that breaks the stalemate.
    • Resolves December 31, 2026.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-solana-hit-before-2027/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-solana-hit-before-2027
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-solana-hit-before-2027")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BBD03M42C1",
  "slug": "what-price-will-solana-hit-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Solana reach a specific price level in 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "solana",
    "price-prediction",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 27,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 1186831,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 91,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "binance.com",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "binance.com",
      "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Binance",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →