Will WTI Crude Oil reach a specific price level in July 2026? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-08 ]
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?
polymarket: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 25 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (HIGH) $70 | 2026-07-01 | 99.9% | — | $8.7K | A | 0xc8cd22…6892 | ||
| (HIGH) $80 | 2026-07-14 | 99.9% | — | $841K | A | 0x140c41…aab9 | ||
| (HIGH) $85 | 2026-07-21 | 99.9% | — | $1.54M | A | 0x3a8693…43b1 | ||
| (HIGH) $90 | 2026-07-23 | 99.9% | $166K | $1.69M | A | 0x4c6386…f360 | ||
| (LOW) $90 | 2026-08-01 | 83.0% | $5.3K | $5.3K | A | 0x1079c4…b80a | ||
| (HIGH) $95 | 2026-08-01 | 73.2% | $245K | $1.51M | A | 0x7d352e…1e8e | ||
| (LOW) $85 | 2026-08-01 | 46.0% | $31K | $36K | A | 0x574897…c08d | ||
| (HIGH) $100 | 2026-08-01 | 40.7% | $126K | $890K | A | 0x21c777…7db4 | ||
| (HIGH) $105 | 2026-08-01 | 23.0% | $82K | $432K | A | 0x5062a2…2813 | ||
| (LOW) $80 | 2026-08-01 | 18.0% | $54K | $110K | A | 0x6b382f…3ee7 | ||
| (HIGH) $110 | 2026-08-01 | 13.8% | $76K | $583K | A | 0x335f5e…376a | ||
| (HIGH) $115 | 2026-08-01 | 7.8% | $41K | $320K | A | 0xb890ec…7da0 | ||
| (LOW) $75 | 2026-08-01 | 6.0% | $36K | $77K | A | 0xa4f828…8700 | ||
| (HIGH) $120 | 2026-08-01 | 3.9% | $89K | $449K | A | 0xf11cac…a2a8 | ||
| (LOW) $70 | 2026-08-01 | 2.5% | $32K | $48K | A | 0x54dced…dcf0 | ||
| (HIGH) $130 | 2026-08-01 | 2.0% | $54K | $486K | A | 0x55dfd1…e15c | ||
| (LOW) $65 | 2026-08-01 | 1.0% | $36K | $923K | A | 0x668373…2714 | ||
| (LOW) $60 | 2026-08-01 | 0.6% | $16K | $562K | A | 0xcfa5b3…30bf | ||
| (LOW) $55 | 2026-08-01 | 0.3% | $5.6K | $217K | A | 0x74d17f…325f | ||
| (LOW) $40 | 2026-08-01 | 0.2% | $3 | $23K | A | 0x957f7e…6898 | ||
| (LOW) $20 | 2026-08-01 | 0.2% | — | $23K | A | 0x51ac5f…3cdf | ||
| (LOW) $50 | 2026-08-01 | 0.1% | $1.1K | $49K | A | 0x93aa49…9dad | ||
| (LOW) $30 | 2026-08-01 | 0.1% | — | $28K | A | 0xcb5b38…2062 | ||
| (LOW) $10 | 2026-08-01 | 0.1% | $1.0K | $63K | A | 0x4e6b09…4040 | ||
| (LOW) $45 | 2026-08-01 | 0.1% | $500 | $23K | A | 0xc202cf…3d85 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI sources (4) · stated precedence rule
- https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI venue-listed
- pythdata.app venue-listed
- Pyth source of record from rules text · editorial
- CME Group from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-1271TQQR03",
"slug": "what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026",
"question": "Will WTI Crude Oil reach a specific price level in July 2026?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"finance",
"commodities",
"energy",
"wti-crude-oil",
"price-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 25,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 10934397,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 94,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI",
"resolution_source_url": "https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Pyth",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI",
"url": null,
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "pythdata.app",
"url": "https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Pyth",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "CME Group",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}