Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit a specific price target in June 2026? [ resolved 2026-07-01 ]

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in June?

polymarket: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot

polymarket 14 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
≥ $4,500	2026-06-01	99.0%	—	$11K	A	`0x6cef57…175f`
≥ $4,400	2026-06-05	99.9%	—	$12K	A	`0x618542…4dcb`
≥ $4,300	2026-06-08	99.9%	—	$59K	A	`0x0c8c8e…5f0c`
≥ $4,200	2026-06-10	99.9%	—	$49K	A	`0x3bd2e9…2d36`
≥ $4,100	2026-06-10	99.9%	—	$42K	A	`0x7d531f…5b9d`
≥ $3,900	2026-07-01	0.0%	$3.4K	$19K	A	`0xf08d1d…662d`
≥ $4,000	2026-07-01	100.0%	$19K	$62K	A	`0xe2ecd1…6e5e`
≥ $4,600	2026-07-01	0.0%	$16K	$49K	A	`0xbd8fee…aa32`
≥ $4,700	2026-07-01	0.0%	$8.8K	$35K	A	`0x21593d…7425`
≥ $4,800	2026-07-01	0.0%	$5.7K	$15K	A	`0x0f0b90…fd9e`
≥ $4,900	2026-07-01	0.0%	$2.7K	$9.5K	A	`0xeeaf6c…7cc9`
≥ $5,000	2026-07-01	0.0%	$2.1K	$10K	A	`0xd3a38f…9e19`
≥ $5,100	2026-07-01	0.0%	$266	$4.2K	A	`0xf2b2a0…575a`
≥ $5,200	2026-07-01	0.0%	$38	$3.6K	A	`0x7dd115…cc47`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 14 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

platform source field polymarket.description → https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD

sources (5) · stated precedence rule

https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD venue-listed
pythdata.app venue-listed
Pyth source of record from rules text · editorial
CME COMEX futures contract from rules text · editorial
COMEX Gold Futures (GC) from rules text · editorial

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
NO	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?	polymarket	`2026-07-01`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in June?	polymarket	`2026-07-01`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?	polymarket	`2026-07-01`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?	polymarket	`2026-07-01`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?	polymarket	`2026-07-01`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?	polymarket	`2026-07-01`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	polymarket	`2026-07-01`	`0%`
YES	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?	polymarket	`2026-07-01`	`100%`
NO	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?	polymarket	`2026-07-01`	`0%`
closed	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-10`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-10`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-08`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-05`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in June?	polymarket	`2026-06-01`	`—`

Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (14 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-xauusd-hit-in-june-2026/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-xauusd-hit-in-june-2026`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-xauusd-hit-in-june-2026")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DYTCN23NS6",
  "slug": "what-price-will-xauusd-hit-in-june-2026",
  "question": "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit a specific price target in June 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "commodities",
    "precious-metals",
    "currency-pairs",
    "price-prediction"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 14,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 380908,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 88,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Pyth",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "pythdata.app",
      "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Pyth",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "CME COMEX futures contract",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "COMEX Gold Futures (GC)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →