Will Dow make a specific statement during their next earnings call? [ resolved 2026-07-23 ]

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

polymarket 20 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will Dow say "Packaging" during earnings call	2026-07-23	99.9%	$294	$1.1K	C	`0x3d2942…7144`
Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call	2026-07-23	99.9%	$1.8K	$2.4K	C	`0x5621dd…4568`
Will Dow say "Demand" 10+ times during earnings call	2026-07-23	99.9%	$749	$988	C	`0xb8f1ba…101c`
Will Dow say "Margin" 5+ times during earnings call	2026-07-23	99.9%	$963	$1.6K	C	`0x338306…6544`
Will Dow say "China" during earnings call	2026-07-23	99.9%	$2.3K	$2.8K	C	`0x1f4340…2efb`
Will Dow say "Infrastructure" during earnings call	2026-07-23	99.9%	$778	$1.3K	C	`0x86d882…b71b`
Will the earnings call not air	2026-07-23	1.0%	$226	$760	C	`0xf64d07…d65b`
Will Dow say "Capacity" during earnings call	2026-07-23	99.9%	$2.9K	$3.9K	C	`0x09ebce…7031`
Will Dow say "Iran" during earnings call	2026-07-23	26.0%	$354	$574	C	`0x47fe1d…a741`
Will Dow say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call	2026-07-23	2.1%	$793	$1.9K	C	`0x5bec7a…5ddb`
Will Dow say "Monopoly" during earnings call	2026-07-23	2.0%	$1.0K	$1.1K	C	`0x727ef6…c6fc`
Will Dow say "Trump" during earnings call	2026-07-23	—	$95	$101	C	`0x9dc54b…b70c`
Will Dow say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call	2026-07-23	6.9%	$636	$1.6K	C	`0xec55b0…d3c5`
Will Dow say "Profit" 10+ times during earnings call	2026-07-23	0.1%	$676	$1.3K	C	`0xca4d81…4eb1`
Will Dow say "Lawsuit" during earnings call	2026-07-23	—	$73	$79	C	`0x58d88e…5974`
Will Dow say "Surge" during earnings call	2026-07-23	—	$94	$94	C	`0xfc4f38…a88f`
Will Dow say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call	2026-07-23	5.0%	$514	$1.1K	C	`0xa8b5e0…b49c`
Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call	2026-07-23	99.9%	$522	$935	C	`0x7a6909…f901`
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call	2026-07-23	0.0%	$17K	$18K	C	`0xc2d7b9…80b2`
Will Dow say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call	2026-07-23	0.0%	$217	$380	C	`0x52b69b…5889`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	not provided	not provided	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 20 markets · share this text

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned

sources (3) · single authority

polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com venue-listed
upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com venue-listed
audio of the event source of record from rules text · editorial

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
NO	Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?	polymarket	`2026-07-28`	`0%`
NO	Will Dow say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?	polymarket	`2026-07-24`	`0%`

Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (2 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-will-dow-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260717163814079/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-will-dow-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260717163814079`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("what-will-dow-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260717163814079")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2JWJ8BNMZ8",
  "slug": "what-will-dow-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260717163814079",
  "question": "Will Dow make a specific statement during their next earnings call?",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "tech",
    "earnings-call",
    "dow-chemical",
    "corporate-guidance",
    "speech-analysis"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 20,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 42061,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 60,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "audio of the event",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
      "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
      "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "audio of the event",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →