Will OpenAI have a public ticker by December 31, 2027? [ resolves 2027-12-31 (514D) ]
polymarket: [B] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 19 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public ticker be $OAI | 2027-12-31 | 67.0% | — | $4.5K | B | 0xaf8b86…2a00 | ||
| Public ticker be $OPAI | 2027-12-31 | 14.0% | — | $2.9K | B | 0xd5efc9…4dbc | ||
| Public ticker be $CGPT | 2027-12-31 | 2.6% | — | $1.2K | B | 0x101848…a96b | ||
| Public ticker be $LLM | 2027-12-31 | 1.7% | — | $1.4K | B | 0x1ba0aa…a649 | ||
| Public ticker be $AAGI | 2027-12-31 | 1.0% | — | $501 | B | 0xe6474e…f560 | ||
| Public ticker be $AIX | 2027-12-31 | 0.7% | — | $715 | B | 0x56e9f4…e13a | ||
| Public ticker be $OA | 2027-12-31 | 0.4% | — | $2.5K | B | 0x9dc269…c5d6 | ||
| Public ticker be $AIGI | 2027-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $691 | B | 0x587dd1…36bb | ||
| Ticker be Ticker A | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xf485dc…0ba5 | ||
| Ticker be Ticker B | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x702fd4…36d7 | ||
| Ticker be Ticker C | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x349c12…1e11 | ||
| Ticker be Ticker D | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x50ee1c…d023 | ||
| Ticker be Ticker E | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x52d296…4d8b | ||
| Ticker be Ticker F | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xee31c6…6bc8 | ||
| Ticker be Ticker G | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x8f8023…2ec1 | ||
| Ticker be Ticker H | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x027705…33c6 | ||
| Ticker be Ticker I | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x9e9b9d…13c4 | ||
| Ticker be Ticker J | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x2d766b…8661 | ||
| Public ticker be another ticker | 2027-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x75f777…f463 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by OpenAI in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from OpenAI that it will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by OpenAI in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if OpenAI uses a ticker symbol of $OPAI.A or $OPAIA, this market will resolve to $OPAI).
If OpenAI announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $OPAI.A and $OPAI.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until OpenAI's first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If OpenAI IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (2) · stated precedence rule
- official information from OpenAI from rules text · editorial
- the primary exchange's official listing page from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-will-openais-public-ticker-be/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-will-openais-public-ticker-be |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-will-openais-public-ticker-be") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Z534LBY7V2",
"slug": "what-will-openais-public-ticker-be",
"question": "Will OpenAI have a public ticker by December 31, 2027?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"openai",
"ipo",
"stock-ticker",
"tech",
"finance"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 19,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14393,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 65,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "official information from OpenAI and the primary exchange's official listing page",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from OpenAI",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "the primary exchange's official listing page",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}