CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Trump attend and speak at the White House Correspondents' Dinner? [ resolved 2026-07-24 ]

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 19 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 100.0%
$223 $368
C 0x5db873…eebf
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 100.0%
$10 $79
C 0xe35e6d…10b3
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 100.0%
$1.5K $2.1K
C 0x51364c…57b2
Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 100.0%
$189 $292
C 0xd91111…4084
Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 100.0%
$1.9K $3.0K
C 0x9bd277…64dd
Will Trump say "Nasty" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 100.0%
$20 $60
C 0xe1189b…0219
Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 100.0%
$244 $419
C 0x3db660…ea4a
Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during White House… 2026-07-24 0.0%
$14 $99
C 0xf4acb1…f8c7
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House… 2026-07-24 0.0%
C 0x812477…b270
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 0.0%
$2 $45
C 0x0ba734…8607
Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House… 2026-07-24 0.0%
$984 $2.0K
C 0x4927b8…29ca
Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 0.0%
$1.3K $3.6K
C 0x484ab4…28d6
Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 0.0%
$312 $846
C 0xff1aa0…c165
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 0.0%
$179 $417
C 0x0671f8…d35b
Will Trump say "Central Casting" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 0.0%
$58 $216
C 0xa73cb4…0487
Will Trump say "Movie Star" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 0.0%
$894 $1.6K
C 0x0899aa…f32f
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 0.0%
$5 $147
C 0x30e927…71ed
Will Trump say "Butler" during White House Correspondents Dinner 2026-07-24 0.0%
$45 $131
C 0xcb2448…8f2f
Will Trump’s remarks not air 2026-07-24 0.0%
$405
C 0xc85578…c692
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 19 markets · share this text
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026 (https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "White House Correspondents Dinner" scheduled for July 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
sources (4)
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Six Seven" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Butler" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Central Casting" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
NO Will Trump say "Movie Star" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
YES Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 100%
YES Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 100%
YES Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 100%
YES Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 100%
YES Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 100%
YES Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 100%
YES Will Trump say "Nasty" during White House Correspondents Dinner? polymarket 2026-07-25 100%
NO Will Trump’s remarks not air? polymarket 2026-07-25 0%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (19 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-will-trump-say-during-the-white-house-correspondents-dinner-20260715212255806/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-will-trump-say-during-the-white-house-correspondents-dinner-20260715212255806
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("what-will-trump-say-during-the-white-house-correspondents-dinner-20260715212255806")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9QV9J00L9",
  "slug": "what-will-trump-say-during-the-white-house-correspondents-dinner-20260715212255806",
  "question": "Will Trump attend and speak at the White House Correspondents' Dinner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "pop-culture",
    "politics",
    "speech-content",
    "white-house-correspondents-dinner",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 19,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 15830,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 52,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "whca.press",
      "url": "https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
      "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
      "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "video of the events",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →