CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Where will the next round of US-Iran peace talks be held? [ resolves 2026-09-30 (69D) ]

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 19 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
No qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur 2026-09-30 26.6%
$2.7K $186K
C 0xc4ebab…427c
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland 2026-09-30 22.0%
$496 $321K
C 0xc65b03…5cc4
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar 2026-09-30 16.0%
$4.8K $546K
C 0x03c583…9153
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan 2026-09-30 10.1%
$5.5K $166K
C 0xcd2cab…0ac1
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman 2026-09-30 7.5%
$571 $287K
C 0x42742f…510b
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey 2026-09-30 3.2%
$93 $50K
C 0xe22e49…9e13
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq 2026-09-30 3.0%
$486 $39K
C 0xe2c7cb…5275
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy 2026-09-30 1.5%
$35 $118K
C 0x91d9fa…3f37
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria 2026-09-30 1.3%
$78 $257K
C 0x66761a…a143
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt 2026-09-30 0.8%
$75 $49K
C 0x22dcf5…ea51
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country 2026-09-30 0.8%
$9 $55K
C 0x464af3…27d9
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia 2026-09-30 0.4%
$22 $67K
C 0x55b51f…259e
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country 2026-09-30 0.3%
$83K
C 0xbe6553…0fff
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States 2026-09-30 0.2%
$12 $43K
C 0x1ba55a…d808
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country 2026-09-30 0.2%
$357 $583K
C 0xcc3c76…f131
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE 2026-09-30 0.1%
$101 $58K
C 0x189e1f…7111
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran 2026-09-30 0.1%
$145 $45K
C 0x8ffa35…36d5
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan 2026-09-30 0.1%
$38K
C 0x53b21e…d255
The next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia 2026-09-30 0.1%
$41K
C 0x455f5b…9b40
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 19 markets · share this text
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins. If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.” If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.” For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.” If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.” The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned
sources (3) · single authority
  • aljazeera.com venue-listed
  • state.gov source of record venue-listed
  • https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-THQW7NPH80",
  "slug": "where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663",
  "question": "Where will the next round of US-Iran peace talks be held?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "tags": [
    "us-iran-relations",
    "diplomatic-negotiations",
    "geopolitics",
    "trump",
    "2026",
    "venue-prediction"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 19,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 3033736,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 46,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "state.gov",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "aljazeera.com",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "state.gov",
      "url": "https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →