Will Trump and Putin meet in 2026, and if so, where? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (178D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not meet | 2026-12-31 | 63.0% | $264 | $7.0K | C | 0xa745ef…6219 | ||
| Meet next in China | 2026-12-31 | 18.0% | $881 | $13K | C | 0xa2739b…e618 | ||
| Meet next in Russia | 2026-12-31 | 7.0% | — | $3.3K | C | 0x46a8b5…3ee1 | ||
| Meet next in United States | 2026-12-31 | 5.0% | — | $2.5K | C | 0x51edea…e874 | ||
| Meet next in Turkey | 2026-12-31 | 3.4% | $73 | $3.5K | C | 0x523609…1866 | ||
| Meet next in a Gulf country | 2026-12-31 | 3.0% | — | $2.5K | C | 0x2f736e…c3d3 | ||
| Meet next in Switzerland | 2026-12-31 | 1.4% | — | $2.9K | C | 0x6ba95b…6afc | ||
| Meet next in Belarus | 2026-12-31 | 1.1% | $30 | $3.0K | C | 0xc5c07c…84c0 | ||
| Meet next in another country | 2026-12-31 | 0.8% | $28 | $3.4K | C | 0xdd1bea…fb18 | ||
| Meet next in another EU country | 2026-12-31 | 0.6% | — | $2.4K | C | 0x581a83…cdc3 | ||
| Meet next in South Korea | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | — | $2.1K | C | 0xc636c7…56c8 | ||
| Meet next in Finland | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $2.3K | C | 0x11d615…3858 | ||
| Meet next in Ukraine | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $2.2K | C | 0x3a5b56…dac7 | ||
| Meet next in Japan | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $2.2K | C | 0x27e6d3…aae1 | ||
| Meet next in Australia | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $2.1K | C | 0x3c4d72…9758 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (1)
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MY6PV3M0R6",
"slug": "where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678",
"question": "Will Trump and Putin meet in 2026, and if so, where?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"geopolitics",
"us-russia-relations",
"trump",
"putin",
"diplomatic-meeting",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 53990,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 38,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}