Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet before 2027? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (149D) ]
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 30 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not meet | 2026-12-31 | 91.0% | $703 | $275K | C | 0x032e40…a3d4 | ||
| Meet next in Switzerland | 2026-12-31 | 3.1% | — | $222K | C | 0x674c08…d393 | ||
| Meet next in US | 2026-12-31 | 2.0% | $100 | $461K | C | 0xa8431d…9e84 | ||
| Meet next in Turkey | 2026-12-31 | 1.8% | $180 | $207K | C | 0x9af4aa…64c4 | ||
| Meet next in Qatar / UAE | 2026-12-31 | 1.1% | — | $388K | C | 0xcaa2b5…430b | ||
| Meet next in China | 2026-12-31 | 0.7% | — | $61K | C | 0x1219cc…14a4 | ||
| Meet next in Kazakhstan | 2026-12-31 | 0.6% | $73 | $120K | C | 0x97a632…b824 | ||
| Meet next in Saudi Arabia | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | — | $119K | C | 0x000009…f707 | ||
| Meet next in Russia | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | $49 | $165K | C | 0x6e003c…f4b5 | ||
| Meet next in Hungary | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $69K | C | 0x845a78…f733 | ||
| Meet next in Ukraine | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | $38 | $208K | C | 0x5ae264…df3c | ||
| Meet next in Belarus | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | $56 | $293K | C | 0x9be876…d26d | ||
| Meet next in Italy / Vatican | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $87 | $101K | C | 0x6bcb37…c7fb | ||
| Meet next in India | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $113 | $198K | C | 0xfa0f93…468e | ||
| Meet next in another country | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfd81b8…7c46 | ||
| Meet next in Country E | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf6b076…7e9c | ||
| Meet next in Country F | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1e2493…e5ea | ||
| Meet next in Country G | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0b5ccd…5bcf | ||
| Meet next in Country H | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1a6b87…cafb | ||
| Meet next in Country I | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa67c06…f01a | ||
| Meet next in Country J | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1a29d2…da56 | ||
| Meet next in Country K | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9955c9…1f10 | ||
| Meet next in Country L | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x690907…0523 | ||
| Meet next in Country M | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa529d1…d414 | ||
| Meet next in Country N | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xed51d7…cbeb | ||
| Meet next in Country O | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf619c7…638a | ||
| Meet next in Country P | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf82c72…2b00 | ||
| Meet next in Country Q | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa7ac6d…cc5e | ||
| Meet next in Country R | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x35152e…051b | ||
| Meet next in Country S | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xaf577c…f5c5 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (1)
a consensus of credible reporting from rules text
recent wire items
- A Zelenskyy-Putin China meeting before 2027 stays at 0% 0% · $23K 24h
- Polymarket prices the meeting at 0%, traders see no credible path to a China-hosted summit before year-end.
- 27% of all-time volume in 24h ($23K), a meaningful activity spike for a contract already at the floor.
- Volume at a 0% price typically reflects either settlement anticipation or a news item that killed residual hope.
- Resolves if Zelenskyy and Putin hold a face-to-face meeting on Chinese soil before January 1, 2027.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-RRTJG4DGV7",
"slug": "where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next",
"question": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet before 2027?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"geopolitics",
"diplomacy",
"ukraine-russia",
"2026",
"bilateral-meetings",
"peace-negotiations"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 30,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 2885894,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 29,
"rcg_caps": [
"adversarial_ground_truth",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}