Will specific guests appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Su Zhu appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 47.0% | — | $175 | C | 0x45d5c1…476d | ||
| Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 28.0% | — | $5.7K | C | 0x852efe…849f | ||
| Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 27.0% | — | $1.9K | C | 0x18682f…087d | ||
| Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 12.0% | — | $1.6K | C | 0x9b3d32…3456 | ||
| Will Vitalik Buterin appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | — | $452 | C | 0x2aecec…019c | ||
| Will light appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | — | $46 | C | 0x51ee8b…822b | ||
| Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 7.9% | — | $182 | C | 0xc2dfcd…1030 | ||
| Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $124 | C | 0x2586a2…7d6e | ||
| Will Thomas Lee appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $91 | C | 0x4ba5f7…7b7b | ||
| Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $401 | C | 0x030e8b…ec9d | ||
| Will Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 3.6% | — | $3.1K | C | 0x1f5893…443c | ||
| Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $4.3K | C | 0xbdc36c…bee9 | ||
| Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 2.1% | — | $1.9K | C | 0x182228…2b8c | ||
| Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 2.0% | — | $442 | C | 0x3aba74…823c | ||
| Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 1.1% | — | $264 | C | 0x27aad6…3bd1 | ||
| Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | 0.8% | — | $11K | C | 0x5ab165…fb1d | ||
| Will Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | — | — | $31 | C | 0xd6c281…3467 | ||
| Will Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | — | — | — | C | 0xc11ec2…302b | ||
| Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | — | — | $161 | C | 0x957304…e9d2 | ||
| Will Andrew Kang appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | — | — | — | C | 0x9be84c…8b33 | ||
| Will thiccy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31 | 2027-01-01 | — | — | — | C | 0x2fbdd9…4a69 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
“Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed).
Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution.
The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/which-guests-will-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/which-guests-will-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-before-2027.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("which-guests-will-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-29KLH8MKX3",
"slug": "which-guests-will-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-before-2027",
"question": "Will specific guests appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"podcast",
"guest-appearance",
"uponly",
"social-media",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 32159,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}