CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Who will attend the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 5 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
J.D. Vance 2026-06-30 100.0%
$9.6K $707K
C 0x7e5228…d1a8
Steve Witkoff 2026-06-30 100.0%
$1.6K $125K
C 0x7e591f…0782
Jared Kushner 2026-06-30 100.0%
$2.9K $154K
C 0xf0abc9…8d18
Donald Trump 2026-06-30 0.0%
$4.7K $256K
C 0xbdb17b…3d86
Marco Rubio 2026-06-30 0.0%
$2.5K $111K
C 0xa65e9c…8d9e
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 5 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
sources (2)
  • official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran from rules text · editorial
  • a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? polymarket 2026-06-30 0%
YES Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? polymarket 2026-06-30 100%
YES Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? polymarket 2026-06-30 100%
NO Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? polymarket 2026-06-30 0%
YES Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? polymarket 2026-06-30 100%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (5 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QXGNCCXT21",
  "slug": "who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting",
  "question": "Who will attend the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "us-iran-relations",
    "diplomacy",
    "middle-east",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 1352449,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 37,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →