Who will attend the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $9.6K | $707K | C | 0x7e5228…d1a8 | ||
| Steve Witkoff | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $1.6K | $125K | C | 0x7e591f…0782 | ||
| Jared Kushner | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $2.9K | $154K | C | 0xf0abc9…8d18 | ||
| Donald Trump | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $4.7K | $256K | C | 0xbdb17b…3d86 | ||
| Marco Rubio | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $2.5K | $111K | C | 0xa65e9c…8d9e |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran from rules text · editorial
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (5 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-QXGNCCXT21",
"slug": "who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting",
"question": "Who will attend the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"geopolitics",
"us-iran-relations",
"diplomacy",
"middle-east",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1352449,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 37,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}