CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 5 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 2026-06-30 38.6%
$1.5K $117K
C 0x7e591f…0782
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 2026-06-30 31.0%
$446 $140K
C 0xf0abc9…8d18
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 2026-06-30 13.8%
$187 $103K
C 0xa65e9c…8d9e
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 2026-06-30 12.3%
$455 $683K
C 0x7e5228…d1a8
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 2026-06-30 5.9%
$1.1K $245K
C 0xbdb17b…3d86
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 5 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QXGNCCXT21",
  "slug": "who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting",
  "question": "Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "us-iran-relations",
    "diplomacy",
    "middle-east",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 1288126,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 40,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →