Will the Maine Democratic Senate nominee be determined by July 27? [ resolved 2026-07-27 ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 18 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | 2026-07-27 | 100.0% | $1.1K | $300K | C | 0x50456e…4661 | ||
| Graham Platner | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $2.3K | $124K | C | 0x24da2d…8001 | ||
| Dan Kleban | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | $34K | C | 0x3633e1…3a69 | ||
| Janet Mills | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $20 | $37K | C | 0x1bf6e0…1934 | ||
| Jared Golden | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $159 | $53K | C | 0xc80dc8…d036 | ||
| Aaron Frey | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | $2.9K | C | 0x0d4f33…8d84 | ||
| Chellie Pingree | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | $7.8K | C | 0x2f759f…e6e9 | ||
| Jordan Wood | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $129 | $24K | C | 0x9623f8…0011 | ||
| Nirav Shah | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $1.2K | $95K | C | 0xb0f326…44e8 | ||
| Shenna Bellows | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $1.3K | $87K | C | 0xbe6526…b4af | ||
| Paige Loud | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | $3.4K | C | 0x94a22a…8151 | ||
| Valli Geiger | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | $31K | C | 0xc84ae4…c23f | ||
| David Costello | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $8 | $9.4K | C | 0xa71243…c5ea | ||
| Elizabeth Dickerson | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | $227 | C | 0x2d9b7c…6bfe | ||
| Saundra Pelletier | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $95 | $7.9K | C | 0x9eb1e3…20d7 | ||
| Candidate I | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5e0d38…8a91 | ||
| Candidate J | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x690f15…3ac6 | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x834116…f6a9 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party from rules text · editorial
- an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-28 | 100% |
| NO | Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-28 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-28 | 0% |
| NO | Will Chellie Pingree be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-28 | 0% |
| NO | Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-28 | 0% |
| NO | Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-28 | 0% |
| NO | Will Aaron Frey be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-28 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-28 | 0% |
| NO | Will Paige Loud be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-28 | 0% |
| NO | Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Valli Geiger be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will David Costello be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Elizabeth Dickerson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Saundra Pelletier be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | polymarket | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (15 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-in-the-maine-senate-race-on-july-27-20260706182929391/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-in-the-maine-senate-race-on-july-27-20260706182929391 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-in-the-maine-senate-race-on-july-27-20260706182929391") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-BH3J95BS79",
"slug": "who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-in-the-maine-senate-race-on-july-27-20260706182929391",
"question": "Will the Maine Democratic Senate nominee be determined by July 27?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"maine",
"democrats",
"senate-2026",
"nominees"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 18,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 815729,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}