CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Bernie Sanders endorse a specific candidate by a specified date? [ resolves 2026-11-30 (180D) ]

Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 7 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Bernie endorse Omar Fateh in Minneapolis Mayor for Nov 3 2026 ET 2026-11-30 100.0%
$4.2K
C 0xb87eb5…cebf
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-30 85.0%
$7 $72K
C 0x136a27…3f23
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-30 40.0%
$98 $15K
C 0x1428eb…c14b
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-30 30.0%
$60 $14K
C 0xb44fe1…9185
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-30 30.0%
$27K
C 0x472a52…6734
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-30 7.8%
$60 $21K
C 0xb8940f…76b0
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-30 3.3%
$12K
C 0xb98ae7…143b
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 7 markets · share this text
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-bernie-endorse/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-bernie-endorse.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("who-will-bernie-endorse")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZD91DJ7L8",
  "slug": "who-will-bernie-endorse",
  "question": "Will Bernie Sanders endorse a specific candidate by a specified date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-elections",
    "endorsements",
    "bernie-sanders",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 7,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 165993,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 52,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →