Will Bernie Sanders endorse a specific candidate by a specified date? [ resolves 2026-11-30 (147D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 | 2026-11-30 | 71.0% | $7 | $72K | C | 0x136a27…3f23 | ||
| Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 | 2026-11-30 | 32.0% | $60 | $14K | C | 0xb44fe1…9185 | ||
| Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 | 2026-11-30 | 20.1% | — | $27K | C | 0x472a52…6734 | ||
| Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 | 2026-11-30 | 5.2% | $98 | $15K | C | 0x1428eb…c14b | ||
| Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 | 2026-11-30 | 2.7% | $60 | $21K | C | 0xb8940f…76b0 | ||
| Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 | 2026-11-30 | 1.2% | — | $12K | C | 0xb98ae7…143b | ||
| Omar Fateh in Minneapolis Mayor for Nov 3 | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | $4.2K | C | 0xb87eb5…cebf |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.
If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Bernie endorse Omar Fateh in Minneapolis Mayor for Nov 3 2026 ET? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-bernie-endorse/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-bernie-endorse |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-bernie-endorse") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-FZD91DJ7L8",
"slug": "who-will-bernie-endorse",
"question": "Will Bernie Sanders endorse a specific candidate by a specified date?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"2026-elections",
"endorsements",
"bernie-sanders",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 165993,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}