CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? [ resolves 2026-11-04 (154D) ]

Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 7 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Trump endorse Winsome Earle-Sears for VA-Gov by Nov 2 2025 ET 2026-11-04 100.0%
$2.4K
C 0x56cae7…5fcf
Will Trump endorse Lindsey Graham for SC-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-04 100.0%
$7.5K
C 0xe35725…448f
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-04 99.9%
$65K
C 0x6fb1af…a3b6
Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-04 99.9%
$24K
C 0xa0a096…5d56
Will Trump endorse Steve Hilton in CA-Gov for Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-04 98.7%
$2.2K
C 0x488bfc…e27a
Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-04 6.0%
$57 $1.1K
C 0x07ab4a…6a7b
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET 2026-11-04 3.0%
$25 $124K
C 0x2aaffb…5f11
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 7 markets · share this text
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-trump-endorse/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-trump-endorse.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("who-will-trump-endorse")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HRDT88BKQ0",
  "slug": "who-will-trump-endorse",
  "question": "Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "2026-election",
    "endorsement",
    "us-political-figures"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 7,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 226059,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 52,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →