Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026? [ resolves 2026-01 – 2026-12 ]
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 24 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Corina Machado in | 2026-01-16 | 99.9% | — | $10K | C | 0x9a7ff0…80f8 | ||
| Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in | 2026-01-21 | 99.9% | — | $14K | C | 0x2b0b87…f1e0 | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy in | 2026-01-22 | 99.9% | — | $40K | C | 0x5b0228…1fb4 | ||
| Javier Milei in | 2026-01-22 | 99.9% | — | $7.2K | C | 0x933fe3…21f5 | ||
| Ali Khamenei in | 2026-03-01 | 0.1% | — | $15K | C | 0xbc7e2e…6407 | ||
| Friedrich Merz in | 2026-03-03 | 99.9% | — | $14K | C | 0x24ba2b…9f5d | ||
| Lula da Silva in | 2026-05-07 | 99.9% | — | $7.8K | C | 0xd58137…ed81 | ||
| Xi Jinping in | 2026-05-14 | 99.9% | — | $158K | C | 0x3d6148…b987 | ||
| Giorgia Meloni by December 31, | 2026-12-31 | 98.9% | — | $9.8K | C | 0x7e20c9…15dc | ||
| Keir Starmer in | 2026-12-31 | 98.3% | — | $15K | C | 0x16f8fc…1cc5 | ||
| Ahmed al-Sharaa in | 2026-12-31 | 88.6% | $68 | $13K | C | 0x6fb581…1d45 | ||
| Mohammed bin Salman in | 2026-12-31 | 73.0% | — | $4.1K | C | 0x1d64e8…c63b | ||
| Vladimir Putin in | 2026-12-31 | 47.0% | — | $13K | C | 0xc57bc9…7081 | ||
| Aleksandr Lukashenko in | 2026-12-31 | 30.0% | — | $12K | C | 0x9a59e1…02a2 | ||
| Pope Leo XIV in | 2026-12-31 | 27.0% | $10 | $11K | C | 0x01d0f2…a9ea | ||
| Changpeng Zhao in | 2026-12-31 | 24.0% | — | $4.5K | C | 0xfad216…0a40 | ||
| Kim Jong Un in | 2026-12-31 | 19.0% | $11 | $21K | C | 0xb53954…18fc | ||
| MrBeast in | 2026-12-31 | 11.0% | — | $11K | C | 0x498ffa…92ce | ||
| IShowSpeed in | 2026-12-31 | 10.2% | — | $6.0K | C | 0xea1490…a509 | ||
| Nicolás Maduro in | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | $1 | $8.4K | C | 0xc05743…8fb3 | ||
| Jair Bolsonaro in | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | $863 | $53K | C | 0xd79182…432c | ||
| Nick Fuentes in | 2026-12-31 | 7.0% | — | $6.0K | C | 0xb94be4…bf15 | ||
| Lai Ching-te in | 2026-12-31 | 6.4% | $1 | $7.5K | C | 0xe9d59a…5940 | ||
| Yoon Suk Yeol in | 2026-12-31 | 1.8% | $5 | $77K | C | 0xe05a7b…b9b0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| closed | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-05-14 | — |
| closed | Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-05-07 | — |
| closed | Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-03-03 | — |
| closed | Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-03-01 | — |
| closed | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-01-22 | — |
| closed | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-01-22 | — |
| closed | Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-01-21 | — |
| closed | Will Trump meet with Maria Corina Machado in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-01-16 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (8 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-D2FSS8S8N5",
"slug": "who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026",
"question": "Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"politics",
"geopolitics",
"diplomatic-meetings",
"2026",
"international-relations"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 24,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 538195,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 38,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}