Will Trump publicly praise someone in August? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2026-08 ]
Will Trump praise Roger Penske in August?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 2026-08-04 | 99.9% | $810 | $835 | C | 0x9502da…1562 | ||
| Zohran Mamdani | 2026-08-31 | 97.0% | — | $177 | C | 0x0e6e94…8486 | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 2026-08-31 | 82.0% | $84 | $862 | C | 0xeb0548…5fed | ||
| Xi Jinping | 2026-08-31 | 81.0% | $3.2K | $3.2K | C | 0xa27269…cd75 | ||
| Elon Musk | 2026-08-31 | 79.0% | $144 | $162 | C | 0x860e84…f05b | ||
| Gianni Infantino | 2026-08-31 | 71.0% | $190 | $281 | C | 0x556e7b…e330 | ||
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 2026-08-31 | 65.0% | $5 | $320 | C | 0x30d302…de3c | ||
| Kevin Warsh | 2026-08-31 | 51.0% | $710 | $1.2K | C | 0xc46ea7…5c8c | ||
| Roger Penske | 2026-08-31 | 50.0% | $1.7K | $1.8K | C | 0x770126…3944 | ||
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 2026-08-31 | 46.0% | $69 | $156 | C | 0x022d9f…86d2 | ||
| Delcy Rodriguez | 2026-08-31 | 41.0% | $149 | $167 | C | 0xaa5331…9da9 | ||
| Andy Burnham | 2026-08-31 | 40.0% | $90 | $940 | C | 0x29f747…be17 | ||
| Dana White | 2026-08-31 | 38.0% | $152 | $733 | C | 0x23b70a…b038 | ||
| Bryson DeChambeau | 2026-08-31 | 34.0% | $49 | $905 | C | 0x7fac10…0750 | ||
| Mark Rutte | 2026-08-31 | 32.0% | $2.1K | $2.8K | C | 0xa9da84…ec71 | ||
| Jon Rahm | 2026-08-31 | 32.0% | — | $591 | C | 0x41ad16…3c5a | ||
| Warren Buffett | 2026-08-31 | 31.0% | $458 | $1.1K | C | 0x08a59c…2e2a | ||
| Javier Milei | 2026-08-31 | 24.0% | $220 | $604 | C | 0x7fce8b…9206 | ||
| Emmanuel Macron | 2026-08-31 | 17.0% | — | $40 | C | 0x24f2f5…32c3 | ||
| Nicki Minaj | 2026-08-31 | 15.0% | $80 | $663 | C | 0xdafaf4…6946 | ||
| Doug Ford | 2026-08-31 | 14.0% | — | $652 | C | 0xce28d4…bd60 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (1)
- public statements from Donald Trump from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-trump-publicly-praise-in-august-20260728221212339/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-trump-publicly-praise-in-august-20260728221212339 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-trump-publicly-praise-in-august-20260728221212339") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
"slug": "who-will-trump-publicly-praise-in-august-20260728221212339",
"question": "Will Trump publicly praise someone in August?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"politics",
"public-statements",
"august-2026",
"praise-prediction",
"political-figures"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 18093,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}