Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2026-08 ]
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in August?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 22 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed bin Salman | 2026-08-02 | 99.9% | — | $1.9K | C | 0xf62263…b5df | ||
| Mark Carney | 2026-08-31 | 82.0% | $134 | $2.0K | C | 0xa2f232…7ade | ||
| Andy Burnham | 2026-08-31 | 72.0% | $243 | $4.8K | C | 0x415f6d…432b | ||
| Vladimir Putin | 2026-08-31 | 65.0% | $9 | $1.9K | C | 0x39b3b8…8fd1 | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 2026-08-31 | 63.0% | $513 | $1.8K | C | 0xe24dff…7a13 | ||
| Emmanuel Macron | 2026-08-31 | 54.0% | $5 | $3.9K | C | 0x0bf5a7…64ee | ||
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 2026-08-31 | 54.0% | — | $228 | C | 0xe48fcf…c2e3 | ||
| Mark Rutte | 2026-08-31 | 48.0% | — | $480 | C | 0xa84829…e709 | ||
| Ursula von der Leyen | 2026-08-31 | 38.0% | — | $74 | C | 0xd8c431…8237 | ||
| Elon Musk | 2026-08-31 | 30.0% | — | $783 | C | 0xf4b62c…2708 | ||
| Xi Jinping | 2026-08-31 | 25.0% | $92 | $3.7K | C | 0x3e55de…d611 | ||
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 2026-08-31 | 22.0% | — | $66 | C | 0xfb8774…efa0 | ||
| Miguel Díaz-Canel | 2026-08-31 | 12.0% | $25 | $85 | C | 0x7b2fe8…3e30 | ||
| Kim Jong Un | 2026-08-31 | 10.0% | — | $641 | C | 0x2c66c2…0b05 | ||
| Maria Corina Machado | 2026-08-31 | 8.4% | — | $452 | C | 0xa014c7…34fe | ||
| Pope Leo XIV | 2026-08-31 | 6.0% | $0 | $3.2K | C | 0x956e7c…0580 | ||
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 2026-08-31 | 4.8% | $146 | $146 | C | 0xd2fed8…a0c9 | ||
| Reza Pahlavi | 2026-08-31 | 4.3% | — | $386 | C | 0x165c86…e4d8 | ||
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 2026-08-31 | 2.8% | — | $260 | C | 0x3a1837…1788 | ||
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 2026-08-31 | 0.9% | — | $545 | C | 0xc32207…d065 | ||
| Nicolás Maduro | 2026-08-31 | 0.7% | $179 | $2.4K | C | 0xcb422e…1f5a | ||
| Friedrich Merz | 2026-08-31 | — | — | $348 | C | 0xf2a9cd…ef2e |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-trump-speak-to-in-august-20260731154151454/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-trump-speak-to-in-august-20260731154151454 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-trump-speak-to-in-august-20260731154151454") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZGK5CJV2L9",
"slug": "who-will-trump-speak-to-in-august-20260731154151454",
"question": "Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"politics",
"geopolitics",
"2026",
"diplomatic-contact",
"august-events"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 22,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 30014,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 37,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}