Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Putin | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $1.0K | $15K | C | 0xd53400…05ec | ||
| Keir Starmer | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $477 | $11K | C | 0xfcc9a6…4a44 | ||
| Friedrich Merz | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $553 | $7.9K | C | 0x5bb297…d402 | ||
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $212 | $9.8K | C | 0xbad2a7…5f0d | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $5 | $17K | C | 0x89163e…689c | ||
| Mohammed bin Salman | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $2.7K | $14K | C | 0x698900…de2e | ||
| Emmanuel Macron | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $75 | $11K | C | 0x25487e…3e4e | ||
| Ursula von der Leyen | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $155 | $12K | C | 0x451101…61ff | ||
| Mark Rutte | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $1.3K | $7.1K | C | 0x5b522e…0ee0 | ||
| Mark Carney | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $710 | $3.1K | C | 0x626af6…2279 | ||
| Nicolás Maduro | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $8 | $3.5K | C | 0xacd639…3f58 | ||
| Kim Jong Un | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $9.0K | C | 0xf24086…d41d | ||
| Xi Jinping | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $17K | C | 0x08acc9…19d5 | ||
| Maria Corina Machado | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $15 | $8.2K | C | 0xebc873…f8de | ||
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $7.8K | $41K | C | 0x92bbf1…c1d9 | ||
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $553 | $10K | C | 0xc59b06…0833 | ||
| Elon Musk | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $11 | $9.2K | C | 0xca8306…29c0 | ||
| Pope Leo XIV | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $49 | $16K | C | 0x3f434f…2602 | ||
| Reza Pahlavi | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $20 | $9.7K | C | 0x423fc6…3561 | ||
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $20 | $34K | C | 0x44cd68…648b | ||
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $290 | C | 0x2d2715…37c5 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (3)
- credible media reporting from rules text · editorial
- statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives from rules text · editorial
- consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (21 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-trump-speak-to-in-june/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-trump-speak-to-in-june |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-trump-speak-to-in-june") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-33HY7CLT67",
"slug": "who-will-trump-speak-to-in-june",
"question": "Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"geopolitics",
"diplomacy",
"2026",
"june-2026",
"international-relations"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 266659,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 37,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "credible media reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}