Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (161D) ]
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 16.5% | — | $11K | C | 0x183bbc…745f |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Bryan Johnson recently made public his relationship with co-founder Kate Tolo (https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1995953490930401334).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bryan Johnson proposes to Kate Tolo by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is definitively determined that Bryan Johnson and Kate Tolo have ended their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution of this market will be photo or video of the proposal, or official statements of Bryan Johnson, Kate Tolo, or their legal representatives, otherwise a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1995953490930401334 sources (2)
- x.com venue-listed
- official statements of Bryan Johnson, Kate Tolo, or their legal representatives from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-bryan-johnson-propose-to-his-co-founder-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-bryan-johnson-propose-to-his-co-founder-before-2027 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-bryan-johnson-propose-to-his-co-founder-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0GSPS0FMD7",
"slug": "will-bryan-johnson-propose-to-his-co-founder-before-2027",
"question": "Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"pop-culture",
"tech",
"personal-relationships",
"celebrity",
"startup-culture"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 10673,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1995953490930401334",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "x.com",
"url": "https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1995953490930401334",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official statements of Bryan Johnson, Kate Tolo, or their legal representatives",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}