Will Congress override any veto in 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (161D) ]
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Congress override any veto in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 3.9% | — | $12K | A | 0xbdb236…7f76 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → Congress.gov sources (2) · single authority
- congress.gov source of record venue-listed
- official U.S. federal government publications from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-congress-override-any-veto-in-2026-20260624150337322/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-congress-override-any-veto-in-2026-20260624150337322 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-congress-override-any-veto-in-2026-20260624150337322") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2FYKRNZ0S8",
"slug": "will-congress-override-any-veto-in-2026-20260624150337322",
"question": "Will Congress override any veto in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"congress",
"politics",
"veto-override",
"us-legislation",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12050,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "Congress.gov",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "congress.gov",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "congress.gov",
"url": "Congress.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official U.S. federal government publications",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}