CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will GRVT launch a token by 2026? [ resolves 2026-04 – 2027-01 ]

Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 4 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
March 31, 2026-04-01 0.1%
$24K
C 0xc28033…7ca5
June 30, 2026-07-01 0.1%
$61K
C 0x5d8f4d…2ef7
September 30, 2027-01-01 99.8%
$513 $46K
C 0xf210e5…aa5c
December 31, 2027-01-01 97.1%
$8.4K
C 0x62f191…ac60
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 4 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GRVT officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://x.com/grvt_io
sources (2)
  • x.com venue-listed
  • https://x.com/grvt_io from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-grvt-launch-a-token-by/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-grvt-launch-a-token-by
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("will-grvt-launch-a-token-by")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-12C2N66JZ4",
  "slug": "will-grvt-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will GRVT launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "grvt",
    "2027",
    "defi-infrastructure",
    "binary-outcome"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 140050,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 49,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/grvt_io",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "x.com",
      "url": "https://x.com/grvt_io",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "https://x.com/grvt_io",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →