Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (178D) ]
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
polymarket: [B] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 14.0% | $1.6K | $150K | B | 0x018829…eb76 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively.
If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (4) · stated precedence rule
- coingecko.com venue-listed
- coingecko.com venue-listed
- CoinGecko source of record from rules text · editorial
- CoinMarketCap from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8Q94FGQ6B8",
"slug": "will-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31",
"question": "Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto-prices",
"crypto",
"market-cap-flip",
"solana",
"altcoin",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 149890,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 79,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CoinGecko",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "coingecko.com",
"url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "coingecko.com",
"url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CoinGecko",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "CoinMarketCap",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}