Will MicroStrategy announce holding over 500,000 BTC by 2026-2027? [ resolves 2026-04 – 2027-01 ]
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.strategy.com/purchases sources (2)
- strategy.com venue-listed
- official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| closed | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026? | polymarket | 2026-04-20 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VQ1KQ48KY6",
"slug": "will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026",
"question": "Will MicroStrategy announce holding over 500,000 BTC by 2026-2027?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"microstrategy",
"bitcoin-holdings",
"corporate-accumulation",
"2027",
"multi-deadline-series"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 463651,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 62,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.strategy.com/purchases",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "strategy.com",
"url": "https://www.strategy.com/purchases",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}