Will MicroStrategy announce holding over 1 million BTC by December 31, 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

polymarket 2 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)		vol (24h)	vol (cum)		RCG	venue id
≥ 800,000	2027-01-01	99.9%		—	$212K		A	`0xf734ad…5715`
≥ 1,000,000	2027-01-01	40.0%		$250	$231K		A	`0x89b80e…79df`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	strategy.com	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 2 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

platform source field polymarket.description → https://www.strategy.com/purchases

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VQ1KQ48KY6",
  "slug": "will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026",
  "question": "Will MicroStrategy announce holding over 1 million BTC by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "microstrategy",
    "bitcoin-holdings",
    "corporate-accumulation",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 443494,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 81,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "strategy.com",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.strategy.com/purchases",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →