Will Paramount close its acquisition of Warner Bros. by the end of 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (178D) ]
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 59.2% | $34 | $122K | C | 0x745bad…9f02 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- official company communications from rules text · editorial
- regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-paramount-close-warner-bros-acquisition-by-end-of-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-paramount-close-warner-bros-acquisition-by-end-of-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-paramount-close-warner-bros-acquisition-by-end-of-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-XQF90F9464",
"slug": "will-paramount-close-warner-bros-acquisition-by-end-of-2026",
"question": "Will Paramount close its acquisition of Warner Bros. by the end of 2026?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"paramount-warner-bros",
"media-merger",
"corporate-acquisition",
"finance-2026",
"deal-closure"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 122234,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 62,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official company communications",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}