Will Predict.fun launch a token by 2026? [ resolves 2026-04 – 2028-01 ]
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2026 | 2026-04-01 | 0.1% | — | $10K | C | 0x7c9a6f…45de | ||
| June 30, 2026 | 2026-07-01 | 0.2% | — | $88K | C | 0x0c43cc…a60b | ||
| December 31, 2026 | 2028-01-01 | 83.0% | $4 | $32K | C | 0x95fedd…7d0a | ||
| December 31, 2027 | 2028-01-01 | 81.0% | $342 | $16K | C | 0x1498cb…084e | ||
| September 30, 2027 | 2028-01-01 | 72.0% | — | $3.8K | C | 0x44a785…63c7 | ||
| June 30, 2027 | 2028-01-01 | 70.2% | — | $5.3K | C | 0xb37bf0…d6c0 | ||
| March 31, 2027 | 2028-01-01 | 60.0% | — | $8.7K | C | 0xdb5a13…bd3c | ||
| September 30, 2026 | 2028-01-01 | 10.0% | — | $33K | C | 0xa0e62c…b8c4 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
recent wire items
- Predict.fun token launch by December holds near 82% 82% · $41K 24h
- Polymarket prices a Predict.fun token launch at 82%, strong consensus the event occurs by year-end.
- $41K in 24h volume represents 30% of all-time, showing sustained and growing trader conviction.
- Elevated odds suggest insiders or well-informed traders see a near-confirmed timeline.
- Contract resolves December 31, 2026; any delay would sharply reprice this contract.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-YKCXX1PMH9",
"slug": "will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by",
"question": "Will Predict.fun launch a token by 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"token-launch",
"predict-fun",
"defi-infrastructure",
"2028"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 196952,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://predict.fun/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "predict.fun",
"url": "https://predict.fun/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}