Will stablecoin market capitalization exceed $500 billion before 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
polymarket: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $500,000,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | — | $582K | B | 0x524807…3b47 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | defillama.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at:
https://defillama.com/stablecoins
A data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.
If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://defillama.com/stablecoins recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-stablecoins-hit-500b-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-stablecoins-hit-500b-before-2027 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-stablecoins-hit-500b-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7CDWCNLP41",
"slug": "will-stablecoins-hit-500b-before-2027",
"question": "Will stablecoin market capitalization exceed $500 billion before 2027?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"stablecoins",
"market-cap",
"2027",
"defi",
"adoption"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 582177,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 69,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "defillama.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://defillama.com/stablecoins",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}