Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by 2026? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-08 ]
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 19, | 2026-07-20 | 0.3% | — | $54K | C | 0xbf79fd…2042 | ||
| July 20, | 2026-07-21 | 1.5% | — | $33K | C | 0x2a25fe…7789 | ||
| July 24, | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $5.6K | $128K | C | 0x20bef2…a696 | ||
| July 31, | 2026-07-31 | 27.0% | $47K | $82K | C | 0x62aa73…c4c8 | ||
| August 31, | 2026-08-31 | 59.0% | $9.6K | $18K | C | 0x4d7f97…0349 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-25 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3V4LK6DZ84",
"slug": "will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520",
"question": "Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by 2026?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"netanyahu",
"geopolitics",
"diplomacy",
"us-israel",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 315891,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 38,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}