Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei in 2026? (multi-deadline series) [ resolves 2026-04 – 2026-12 ]
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 2026-04-01 | 0.1% | — | $247K | C | 0x46f1c3…ef11 | ||
| April 30 | 2026-05-01 | 0.4% | — | $146K | C | 0x736c6e…9d57 | ||
| May 31 | 2026-06-01 | 0.4% | — | $19K | C | 0xe1d074…97e0 | ||
| June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.2% | — | $92K | C | 0xeeb715…1683 | ||
| December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 6.1% | $618 | $108K | C | 0x6c9c23…1643 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-TC7Y6F86C6",
"slug": "will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31",
"question": "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"geopolitics",
"trump",
"iran",
"diplomacy",
"2026",
"direct-communication"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 610551,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 10,
"rcg_caps": [
"discretionary_trigger_no_source",
"adversarial_ground_truth",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}