Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run by June 30? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $491 | $19K | C | 0x488793…30e4 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Tucker Carlson will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Tucker Carlson (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-tucker-carlson-announce-presidential-run-by-june-30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-tucker-carlson-announce-presidential-run-by-june-30 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-tucker-carlson-announce-presidential-run-by-june-30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5M8QYFZ3L7",
"slug": "will-tucker-carlson-announce-presidential-run-by-june-30",
"question": "Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run by June 30?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"tucker-carlson",
"2026-presidential",
"political-announcement",
"politics",
"us-elections"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 18885,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"uncommitted_illustrative"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}