Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% by 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 99% | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $46K | C | 0x36a34d…7b99 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins), using the “Stablecoin Supply by Currency” chart. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.
A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins sources (2) · single authority
- app.artemisanalytics.com venue-listed
- Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins) source of record from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-usd-denominated-stablecoin-market-share-fall-below-99-in-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-usd-denominated-stablecoin-market-share-fall-below-99-in-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-usd-denominated-stablecoin-market-share-fall-below-99-in-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-S8HG1DCMT9",
"slug": "will-usd-denominated-stablecoin-market-share-fall-below-99-in-2026",
"question": "Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% by 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"stablecoins",
"market-share",
"usd-denominated",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 46141,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 60,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins)",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "app.artemisanalytics.com",
"url": "https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}