Will Yevhen Khmara be appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence in 2026? (multi-deadline series) [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-08 ]
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine.
A nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify.
An appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position.
If the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (3)
- official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada from rules text · editorial
- official information from the President of Ukraine from rules text · editorial
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/yevhen-khmara-appointed-as-ukrainian-minister-of-defence-by-july-31-20260716170825742/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/yevhen-khmara-appointed-as-ukrainian-minister-of-defence-by-july-31-20260716170825742 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("yevhen-khmara-appointed-as-ukrainian-minister-of-defence-by-july-31-20260716170825742") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-TKK310DFX6",
"slug": "yevhen-khmara-appointed-as-ukrainian-minister-of-defence-by-july-31-20260716170825742",
"question": "Will Yevhen Khmara be appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"geopolitics",
"ukraine",
"defense-ministry",
"government-appointments",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14553,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 76,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official information from the President of Ukraine",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}