Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026 [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-07 ]
Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 50 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $63,500 | 2026-07-24 | 100.0% | $13K | $82K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $64,000 | 2026-07-24 | 100.0% | $13K | $142K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $64,500 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $47K | $195K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $65,000 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $42K | $162K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $50,000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $8 | $1.1K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $50,500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $1 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $51,000 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $1 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $51,500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $4 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $52,000 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $565 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $52,500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $1 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $53,000 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $332 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $53,500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $54,000 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $8 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $54,500 | 2026-07-31 | 97.0% | — | $520 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $55,000 | 2026-07-31 | 97.0% | — | $2.5K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $55,500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $32 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $56,000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $93 | $93 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $56,500 | 2026-07-31 | 97.0% | — | $996 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $57,000 | 2026-07-31 | 97.0% | — | $6.1K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $57,500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $321 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $58,000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $764 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $58,500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | $5 | $499 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $59,000 | 2026-07-31 | 97.0% | — | $24K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $59,500 | 2026-07-31 | 97.0% | — | $1.7K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $60,000 | 2026-07-31 | 97.0% | $239 | $18K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $60,500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | $93 | $8.9K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $61,000 | 2026-07-31 | 97.0% | $5 | $19K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $61,500 | 2026-07-31 | 97.0% | $169 | $10K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $62,000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $8.7K | $32K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $62,500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | $18K | $35K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $63,000 | 2026-07-31 | 94.0% | $18K | $65K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $65,500 | 2026-07-31 | 35.0% | $32K | $104K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $66,000 | 2026-07-31 | 22.0% | $17K | $60K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $66,500 | 2026-07-31 | 11.0% | $4.6K | $19K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $67,000 | 2026-07-31 | 6.0% | $2.9K | $8.7K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $67,500 | 2026-07-31 | 3.0% | $346 | $2.0K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $68,000 | 2026-07-31 | 2.0% | $624 | $1.5K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $68,500 | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | $24 | $324 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $69,000 | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | $44 | $378 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $69,500 | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | $7 | $402 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $70,000 | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | $51 | $1.2K | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $70,500 | 2026-07-31 | 3.0% | — | $450 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $71,000 | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | $1 | $32 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $71,500 | 2026-07-31 | 3.0% | $0 | $71 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $72,000 | 2026-07-31 | 4.0% | — | $91 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $72,500 | 2026-07-31 | 4.0% | — | $254 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $73,000 | 2026-07-31 | 2.0% | — | $14 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $73,500 | 2026-07-31 | 2.0% | $1 | $16 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $74,000 | 2026-07-31 | 2.0% | — | $8 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 | ||
| ≥ $74,500 | 2026-07-31 | 3.0% | — | $75 | A | KXBTCD-26JUL….99 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CF Benchmarks | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 49999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- CF Benchmarks source of record venue-listed
- CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 100% |
| YES | Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 100% |
| NO | Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (4 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Traders back Bitcoin above its Jul 24 band at 76% 76% · $92K 24h
- Market prices a 76% probability Bitcoin clears the upper price threshold today, a meaningful lean above the line.
- Kalshi records $92K in 24h, 36% of all-time volume for this contract, concentrated on expiry day.
- Same-day resolution means this is live directional flow, not a forward bet; price reflects where traders see the close.
- Resolves today, Jul 24, 2026 against Bitcoin's final spot price.
- Fresh volume backs Bitcoin above its 90% band today 90% · $49K 24h
- Market prices a 90% probability Bitcoin clears this upper threshold by today's close, strong directional consensus.
- Kalshi logs $49K in 24h, 26% of all-time volume, a notable but not dominant share, suggesting steady rather than panic flow.
- High confidence on expiry day reflects current spot prices already well above the band line, locking in near-certain resolution.
- Resolves today, Jul 24, 2026 against Bitcoin's closing price.
- Buyers pile into Bitcoin's 95% band on Jul 24 close 95% · $36K 24h
- Market prices a 95% chance Bitcoin finishes above this highest band level today, near-certain resolution expected.
- Kalshi sees $36K in 24h, 33% of all-time volume, a third of lifetime activity on final resolution day.
- At 95% on expiry day, flow is largely settlement-driven, confirming spot BTC is trading well above the threshold.
- Resolves today, Jul 24, 2026; the 5% residual represents tail risk of an extreme intraday reversal.
- Bitcoin Jul 24 price holds right at 50% on Kalshi 50% · $109K 24h
- Market sits exactly at 50%, maximum uncertainty on which side of this price band Bitcoin closes today.
- Kalshi sees $109K in 24h, representing fully half of all-time contract volume, decisive single-day crowding.
- With today as resolution day, late-session volume reflects live directional positioning, not speculation about future dates.
- Resolves at end of day Jul 24, 2026 based on Bitcoin's closing price relative to the band threshold.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbtcd-26jul2417/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbtcd-26jul2417 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbtcd-26jul2417") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-TTG377V2N9",
"slug": "kxbtcd-26jul2417",
"question": "Bitcoin price on Jul 24, 2026",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"bitcoin-price",
"crypto-markets",
"price-prediction",
"2026",
"edt-timezone"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 50,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1006732,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks",
"url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}